Kelty Hearts
Scottish League One · 4 seasons
| Season | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 36 | 33 | 43.0 | 53.3 | -10.3 | 29 | 43.0 | -14.0 |
| 2024/25 | 36 | 40 | 41.1 | 44.2 | -3.1 | 44 | 46.5 | -2.5 |
| 2023/24 | 36 | 48 | 39.0 | 50.5 | -11.4 | 44 | 43.0 | +1.0 |
| 2022/23 | 36 | 39 | 41.4 | 45.9 | -4.5 | 40 | 46.4 | -6.4 |
| 2025/26 | 18 | 11 | 23.1 | 26.7 | -3.6 | 10 | 22.2 | -12.2 |
| 2024/25 | 18 | 18 | 22.8 | 23.1 | -0.3 | 22 | 23.9 | -1.9 |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 18 | 17.8 | 22.0 | -4.2 | 24 | 22.2 | +1.8 |
| 2022/23 | 18 | 21 | 22.7 | 21.6 | +1.1 | 25 | 25.6 | -0.6 |
| 2025/26 | 18 | 22 | 20.0 | 26.6 | -6.6 | 19 | 20.8 | -1.8 |
| 2024/25 | 18 | 22 | 18.3 | 21.1 | -2.8 | 22 | 22.7 | -0.7 |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 30 | 21.2 | 28.4 | -7.2 | 20 | 20.8 | -0.8 |
| 2022/23 | 18 | 18 | 18.6 | 24.2 | -5.6 | 15 | 20.7 | -5.7 |
Recent form
- 2025/26
- W@ Peterhead2–02 May 2026xG 1.2–0.5
- Lvs Cove Rangers0–225 Apr 2026xG 1.1–2.1
- L@ Inverness C0–118 Apr 2026xG 1.0–0.7
- Wvs Montrose3–111 Apr 2026xG 1.6–1.4
- Dvs Queen of Sth1–14 Apr 2026xG 1.7–0.7
- W@ Hamilton2–128 Mar 2026xG 1.0–0.9
- L@ Stenhousemuir0–221 Mar 2026xG 0.7–1.4
- Dvs East Fife1–114 Mar 2026xG 2.0–1.2
- L@ Alloa1–27 Mar 2026xG 1.2–1.4
- D@ Montrose1–13 Mar 2026xG 2.1–2.3
First half / second half
Half-time position → full-time result (2025/26)
- Led at HT82W 3D 3Lleads held 25%
- Level at HT134W 5D 4L
- Behind at HT150W 3D 12Lcomeback rate 20%
| Season | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 36 | 15 | 18 | 29 | 33 | 55% | 3 | 6 |
| 2024/25 | 36 | 17 | 23 | 18 | 28 | 58% | 2 | 2 |
| 2023/24 | 36 | 20 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 58% | 1 | 2 |
| 2022/23 | 36 | 13 | 26 | 19 | 35 | 67% | 4 | 3 |
Home advantage
Home edge (PPG) by season — home vs away results, descriptive.
This season (2025/26)
- Home181W 7D 10L0.56 PPG
- Away185W 4D 9L1.06 PPG
| Season | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 18 | 6% | 0.56 | 1.06 | -0.50 | -1.22 | -0.39 |
| 2024/25 | 18 | 33% | 1.22 | 1.22 | 0.00 | -0.56 | +0.22 |
| 2023/24 | 18 | 39% | 1.33 | 1.11 | +0.22 | -0.44 | -0.39 |
| 2022/23 | 18 | 39% | 1.39 | 0.83 | +0.56 | +0.17 | -1.00 |
Corners
Corners per game by season — actual counts, shown where available.
This season (2025/26)
- Home1866 for / 95 against3.7 CF/g
- Away1872 for / 104 against4.0 CF/g
| Season | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 36 | 138 | 199 | 3.8 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| 2024/25 | 36 | 157 | 203 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 4.8 | 3.9 |
| 2023/24 | 36 | 178 | 211 | 4.9 | 5.9 | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| 2022/23 | 36 | 187 | 199 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 5.4 |