Estrela
Primeira Liga · 3 seasons
| Season | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 34 | 38 | 39.7 | 45.6 | -5.9 | 30 | 42.3 | -12.3 |
| 2024/25 | 34 | 24 | 30.9 | 48.1 | -17.2 | 29 | 35.9 | -6.9 |
| 2023/24 | 34 | 33 | 34.5 | 45.6 | -11.1 | 33 | 39.3 | -6.3 |
| 2025/26 | 17 | 21 | 21.7 | 19.7 | +2.1 | 18 | 24.3 | -6.3 |
| 2024/25 | 17 | 18 | 16.4 | 23.5 | -7.1 | 19 | 19.4 | -0.4 |
| 2023/24 | 17 | 22 | 19.7 | 21.1 | -1.4 | 21 | 22.4 | -1.4 |
| 2025/26 | 17 | 17 | 18.0 | 26.0 | -8.0 | 12 | 18.0 | -6.0 |
| 2024/25 | 17 | 6 | 14.5 | 24.6 | -10.1 | 10 | 16.5 | -6.5 |
| 2023/24 | 17 | 11 | 14.8 | 24.5 | -9.7 | 12 | 16.9 | -4.9 |
Recent form
- 2025/26
- D@ Sp Braga2–216 May 2026xG 1.4–1.2
- Dvs Famalicao0–011 May 2026xG 0.5–1.0
- L@ Moreirense2–32 May 2026xG 0.9–1.9
- Lvs Porto1–226 Apr 2026xG 0.9–1.1
- L@ Arouca0–119 Apr 2026xG 0.9–1.1
- Lvs Sp Lisbon0–111 Apr 2026xG 0.8–0.4
- L@ Nacional0–24 Apr 2026xG 0.6–1.2
- Wvs Casa Pia4–020 Mar 2026xG 2.3–0.7
- L@ Rio Ave1–215 Mar 2026xG 0.9–1.5
- Dvs Gil Vicente2–28 Mar 2026xG 2.2–1.4
First half / second half
Half-time position → full-time result (2025/26)
- Led at HT74W 0D 3Lleads held 57%
- Level at HT132W 8D 3L
- Behind at HT140W 4D 10Lcomeback rate 29%
| Season | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 34 | 19 | 19 | 25 | 31 | 50% | 4 | 3 |
| 2024/25 | 34 | 10 | 14 | 25 | 25 | 58% | 2 | 1 |
| 2023/24 | 34 | 12 | 21 | 18 | 35 | 64% | 2 | 3 |
Home advantage
Home edge (PPG) by season — home vs away results, descriptive.
This season (2025/26)
- Home174W 6D 7L1.06 PPG
- Away172W 6D 9L0.71 PPG
| Season | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 17 | 24% | 1.06 | 0.71 | +0.35 | -0.18 | -0.88 |
| 2024/25 | 17 | 29% | 1.12 | 0.59 | +0.53 | -0.35 | -1.18 |
| 2023/24 | 17 | 35% | 1.24 | 0.71 | +0.53 | -0.29 | -0.88 |
Corners
Corners per game by season — actual counts, shown where available.
This season (2025/26)
- Home1761 for / 93 against3.6 CF/g
- Away1752 for / 103 against3.1 CF/g
| Season | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | 34 | 113 | 196 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| 2024/25 | 34 | 134 | 200 | 3.9 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| 2023/24 | 34 | 178 | 188 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 4.8 |