Süper Lig
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
Top xG
- Besiktas58.5
- Fenerbahce55.3
- Galatasaray54.4
- Trabzonspor52.4
- Buyuksehyr51.2
Biggest over-performers
- Galatasaray+17.4
- Fenerbahce+16.3
- Trabzonspor+13.8
- Goztep+2.7
- Samsunspor+2.5
Biggest under-performers
- Eyupspor-9.7
- Alanyaspor-9.2
- Karagumruk-9.1
- Konyaspor-7.7
- Gaziantep-7.2
Best defences (lowest xGA)
- Galatasaray32.8
- Fenerbahce34.6
- Besiktas35.4
- Kocaelispor35.7
- Buyuksehyr36.7
Biggest xG difference
- Besiktas+23.1
- Galatasaray+21.6
- Fenerbahce+20.7
- Buyuksehyr+14.5
- Trabzonspor+14.5
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Besiktas | 34 | 59 | 58.5 | 35.4 | +23.1 | 60 | 61.0 | -1.0 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 34 | 77 | 54.4 | 32.8 | +21.6 | 77 | 59.6 | +17.4 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 77 | 55.3 | 34.6 | +20.7 | 74 | 57.7 | +16.3 |
| 4 | Buyuksehyr | 34 | 58 | 51.2 | 36.7 | +14.5 | 57 | 55.3 | +1.7 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 61 | 52.4 | 37.9 | +14.5 | 69 | 55.2 | +13.8 |
| 6 | Goztep | 34 | 42 | 45.8 | 38.4 | +7.5 | 55 | 52.3 | +2.7 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 46 | 40.5 | 38.0 | +2.5 | 51 | 48.5 | +2.5 |
| 8 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 41 | 43.8 | 43.5 | +0.3 | 37 | 46.2 | -9.2 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 43 | 43.6 | 44.7 | -1.1 | 40 | 47.7 | -7.7 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 34 | 43 | 45.7 | 49.3 | -3.6 | 37 | 44.2 | -7.2 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 26 | 31.6 | 35.7 | -4.1 | 37 | 43.5 | -6.5 |
| 12 | Eyupspor | 34 | 33 | 40.7 | 45.2 | -4.6 | 33 | 42.7 | -9.7 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 36 | 37.3 | 49.8 | -12.4 | 34 | 39.0 | -5.0 |
| 14 | Karagumruk | 34 | 31 | 36.8 | 50.0 | -13.2 | 30 | 39.1 | -9.1 |
| 15 | Rizespor | 34 | 46 | 41.7 | 55.4 | -13.6 | 41 | 40.1 | +0.9 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 33 | 39.2 | 54.3 | -15.1 | 32 | 38.7 | -6.7 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 27 | 41.9 | 59.4 | -17.5 | 30 | 37.2 | -7.2 |
| 18 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 33 | 31.0 | 50.5 | -19.6 | 35 | 34.1 | +0.9 |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 17 | 46 | 32.7 | 15.0 | +17.7 | 43 | 34.1 | +8.9 |
| 2 | Besiktas | 17 | 30 | 31.7 | 17.1 | +14.6 | 31 | 32.6 | -1.6 |
| 3 | Fenerbahce | 17 | 40 | 30.3 | 15.9 | +14.5 | 39 | 32.3 | +6.7 |
| 4 | Trabzonspor | 17 | 29 | 28.2 | 17.4 | +10.7 | 33 | 30.0 | +3.0 |
| 5 | Goztep | 17 | 24 | 24.9 | 14.6 | +10.3 | 31 | 29.7 | +1.3 |
| 6 | Buyuksehyr | 17 | 33 | 29.1 | 19.0 | +10.1 | 30 | 29.8 | +0.2 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 17 | 22 | 23.5 | 16.1 | +7.4 | 28 | 28.7 | -0.7 |
| 8 | Konyaspor | 17 | 21 | 23.0 | 15.7 | +7.3 | 24 | 28.6 | -4.6 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 17 | 23 | 24.8 | 19.2 | +5.5 | 23 | 26.4 | -3.4 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 17 | 15 | 19.3 | 14.3 | +5.0 | 23 | 26.4 | -3.4 |
| 11 | Eyupspor | 17 | 19 | 24.6 | 20.5 | +4.1 | 19 | 25.8 | -6.8 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 17 | 24 | 23.9 | 20.2 | +3.7 | 25 | 25.6 | -0.6 |
| 13 | Gaziantep | 17 | 22 | 24.1 | 22.7 | +1.4 | 20 | 24.2 | -4.2 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 17 | 22 | 23.3 | 23.2 | 0.0 | 19 | 23.9 | -4.9 |
| 15 | Karagumruk | 17 | 18 | 20.6 | 21.2 | -0.6 | 21 | 24.1 | -3.1 |
| 16 | Rizespor | 17 | 24 | 23.7 | 24.7 | -1.0 | 27 | 24.3 | +2.7 |
| 17 | Kasimpasa | 17 | 15 | 17.9 | 22.1 | -4.2 | 21 | 20.7 | +0.3 |
| 18 | Kayserispor | 17 | 15 | 21.5 | 25.8 | -4.4 | 19 | 21.3 | -2.3 |
| 1 | Besiktas | 17 | 29 | 26.8 | 18.3 | +8.5 | 29 | 28.4 | +0.6 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 17 | 37 | 25.0 | 18.7 | +6.3 | 35 | 25.4 | +9.6 |
| 3 | Buyuksehyr | 17 | 25 | 22.0 | 17.7 | +4.4 | 27 | 25.5 | +1.5 |
| 4 | Galatasaray | 17 | 31 | 21.7 | 17.8 | +3.9 | 34 | 25.4 | +8.6 |
| 5 | Trabzonspor | 17 | 32 | 24.3 | 20.5 | +3.8 | 36 | 25.2 | +10.8 |
| 6 | Goztep | 17 | 18 | 21.0 | 23.8 | -2.8 | 24 | 22.6 | +1.4 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 17 | 24 | 17.0 | 21.9 | -4.9 | 23 | 19.8 | +3.2 |
| 8 | Gaziantep | 17 | 21 | 21.6 | 26.6 | -5.0 | 17 | 19.9 | -2.9 |
| 9 | Alanyaspor | 17 | 18 | 19.0 | 24.2 | -5.2 | 14 | 19.8 | -5.8 |
| 10 | Konyaspor | 17 | 22 | 20.7 | 29.0 | -8.3 | 16 | 19.1 | -3.1 |
| 11 | Eyupspor | 17 | 14 | 16.1 | 24.7 | -8.7 | 14 | 17.0 | -3.0 |
| 12 | Kocaelispor | 17 | 11 | 12.3 | 21.4 | -9.1 | 14 | 17.1 | -3.1 |
| 13 | Karagumruk | 17 | 13 | 16.2 | 28.8 | -12.6 | 9 | 15.0 | -6.0 |
| 14 | Rizespor | 17 | 22 | 18.1 | 30.7 | -12.6 | 14 | 15.9 | -1.9 |
| 15 | Kayserispor | 17 | 12 | 20.5 | 33.6 | -13.1 | 11 | 15.9 | -4.9 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 17 | 11 | 16.0 | 31.1 | -15.2 | 13 | 14.8 | -1.8 |
| 17 | Kasimpasa | 17 | 18 | 13.1 | 28.4 | -15.4 | 14 | 13.4 | +0.6 |
| 18 | Genclerbirligi | 17 | 12 | 13.5 | 29.6 | -16.1 | 9 | 13.3 | -4.3 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 34 | 19 | 22 | 14 | 27 | 54% | 3 | 8 |
| Antalyaspor | 34 | 14 | 19 | 24 | 31 | 58% | 0 | 4 |
| Besiktas | 34 | 32 | 27 | 18 | 22 | 46% | 2 | 3 |
| Buyuksehyr | 34 | 28 | 30 | 11 | 24 | 52% | 0 | 3 |
| Eyupspor | 34 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 31 | 61% | 2 | 3 |
| Fenerbahce | 34 | 32 | 45 | 21 | 16 | 58% | 7 | 1 |
| Galatasaray | 34 | 32 | 45 | 9 | 21 | 58% | 3 | 2 |
| Gaziantep | 34 | 20 | 23 | 26 | 32 | 53% | 2 | 3 |
| Genclerbirligi | 34 | 17 | 19 | 25 | 22 | 53% | 2 | 3 |
| Goztep | 34 | 20 | 22 | 12 | 20 | 52% | 1 | 2 |
| Karagumruk | 34 | 15 | 16 | 23 | 31 | 52% | 1 | 2 |
| Kasimpasa | 34 | 15 | 18 | 26 | 23 | 55% | 3 | 0 |
| Kayserispor | 34 | 3 | 24 | 27 | 35 | 89% | 4 | 0 |
| Kocaelispor | 34 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 24 | 58% | 2 | 0 |
| Konyaspor | 34 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 28 | 58% | 2 | 1 |
| Rizespor | 34 | 20 | 26 | 19 | 33 | 57% | 2 | 3 |
| Samsunspor | 34 | 17 | 29 | 20 | 25 | 63% | 3 | 4 |
| Trabzonspor | 34 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 16 | 59% | 5 | 2 |
| League total | 612 | 351 | 461 | 351 | 461 | 57% | 44 | 44 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 17 | 35% | 1.35 | 0.82 | +0.53 | +0.35 | -0.35 |
| Antalyaspor | 17 | 29% | 1.12 | 0.76 | +0.35 | -0.65 | -0.65 |
| Besiktas | 17 | 53% | 1.82 | 1.71 | +0.12 | +0.59 | +0.53 |
| Buyuksehyr | 17 | 47% | 1.76 | 1.59 | +0.18 | +0.94 | +0.41 |
| Eyupspor | 17 | 29% | 1.12 | 0.82 | +0.29 | -0.12 | -0.76 |
| Fenerbahce | 17 | 65% | 2.29 | 2.06 | +0.24 | +1.24 | +1.12 |
| Galatasaray | 17 | 76% | 2.53 | 2.00 | +0.53 | +1.88 | +0.88 |
| Gaziantep | 17 | 29% | 1.18 | 1.00 | +0.18 | -0.29 | -0.59 |
| Genclerbirligi | 17 | 41% | 1.47 | 0.53 | +0.94 | 0.00 | -0.65 |
| Goztep | 17 | 47% | 1.82 | 1.41 | +0.41 | +0.59 | 0.00 |
| Karagumruk | 17 | 35% | 1.24 | 0.53 | +0.71 | -0.29 | -1.06 |
| Kasimpasa | 17 | 29% | 1.24 | 0.82 | +0.41 | -0.24 | -0.71 |
| Kayserispor | 17 | 29% | 1.12 | 0.65 | +0.47 | -1.00 | -1.06 |
| Kocaelispor | 17 | 35% | 1.35 | 0.82 | +0.53 | +0.12 | -0.82 |
| Konyaspor | 17 | 35% | 1.41 | 0.94 | +0.47 | +0.12 | -0.53 |
| Rizespor | 17 | 47% | 1.59 | 0.82 | +0.76 | +0.06 | -0.41 |
| Samsunspor | 17 | 41% | 1.65 | 1.35 | +0.29 | +0.29 | -0.24 |
| Trabzonspor | 17 | 53% | 1.94 | 2.12 | -0.18 | +0.65 | +0.65 |
| League total | 306 | 42% | 1.56 | 1.15 | +0.40 | +0.24 | -0.24 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 9 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanyaspor | 34 | 159 | 125 | 4.7 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 3.9 |
| Antalyaspor | 34 | 139 | 195 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| Besiktas | 34 | 186 | 159 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 4.6 |
| Buyuksehyr | 34 | 164 | 176 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.4 | 5.2 |
| Eyupspor | 34 | 117 | 200 | 3.4 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Fenerbahce | 34 | 236 | 140 | 6.9 | 4.1 | 7.5 | 6.4 |
| Galatasaray | 34 | 187 | 114 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 6.5 | 4.5 |
| Gaziantep | 34 | 171 | 176 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 3.5 |
| Genclerbirligi | 34 | 134 | 183 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 4.5 | 3.4 |
| Goztep | 34 | 153 | 166 | 4.5 | 4.9 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| Karagumruk | 34 | 121 | 180 | 3.6 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 4.0 |
| Kasimpasa | 34 | 143 | 152 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Kayserispor | 34 | 177 | 154 | 5.2 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Kocaelispor | 34 | 142 | 133 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| Konyaspor | 34 | 167 | 159 | 4.9 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 4.2 |
| Rizespor | 34 | 144 | 156 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.3 |
| Samsunspor | 34 | 193 | 146 | 5.7 | 4.3 | 5.8 | 5.6 |
| Trabzonspor | 34 | 157 | 176 | 4.6 | 5.2 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| League total | 612 | 2890 | 2890 | 4.7 | 4.7 | — | — |