La Liga 2
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
Top xG
- Malaga66.1
- Santander63.2
- Almeria62.8
- Andorra56.3
- Sociedad B55.4
Biggest over-performers
- La Coruna+16.5
- Santander+15.7
- Almeria+15.2
- Burgos+14.8
- Las Palmas+12.1
Biggest under-performers
- Cultural Leonesa-19.9
- Sociedad B-16.2
- Mirandes-14.2
- Zaragoza-13.1
- Huesca-12.3
Best defences (lowest xGA)
- Burgos43.2
- Eibar46.5
- Sociedad B47.3
- Las Palmas47.6
- Albacete47.6
Biggest xG difference
- Santander+13.7
- Malaga+13.1
- Sociedad B+8.1
- Sp Gijon+5.5
- Las Palmas+5.2
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Santander | 42 | 90 | 63.2 | 49.5 | +13.7 | 82 | 66.3 | +15.7 |
| 2 | Malaga | 42 | 75 | 66.1 | 53.1 | +13.1 | 73 | 65.4 | +7.6 |
| 3 | Sociedad B | 42 | 52 | 55.4 | 47.3 | +8.1 | 47 | 63.2 | -16.2 |
| 4 | Sp Gijon | 42 | 60 | 54.7 | 49.2 | +5.5 | 61 | 61.0 | 0.0 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 42 | 57 | 52.7 | 47.6 | +5.2 | 73 | 60.9 | +12.1 |
| 6 | La Coruna | 42 | 65 | 52.0 | 47.8 | +4.2 | 77 | 60.5 | +16.5 |
| 7 | Andorra | 42 | 62 | 56.3 | 52.4 | +3.9 | 58 | 60.6 | -2.6 |
| 8 | Castellon | 42 | 70 | 54.7 | 51.3 | +3.4 | 72 | 60.9 | +11.1 |
| 9 | Albacete | 42 | 56 | 50.7 | 47.6 | +3.1 | 59 | 59.2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | Eibar | 42 | 52 | 48.2 | 46.5 | +1.7 | 67 | 57.4 | +9.6 |
| 11 | Almeria | 42 | 81 | 62.8 | 61.3 | +1.5 | 74 | 58.8 | +15.2 |
| 12 | Burgos | 42 | 48 | 43.7 | 43.2 | +0.5 | 72 | 57.2 | +14.8 |
| 13 | Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 39 | 52.6 | 52.5 | 0.0 | 37 | 56.9 | -19.9 |
| 14 | Leganes | 42 | 43 | 48.1 | 49.7 | -1.6 | 46 | 56.1 | -10.1 |
| 15 | Granada | 42 | 50 | 47.9 | 50.7 | -2.8 | 48 | 55.4 | -7.4 |
| 16 | Mirandes | 42 | 47 | 51.8 | 55.6 | -3.8 | 40 | 54.2 | -14.2 |
| 17 | Valladolid | 42 | 44 | 45.9 | 53.2 | -7.2 | 46 | 52.1 | -6.1 |
| 18 | Cadiz | 42 | 41 | 40.8 | 48.6 | -7.9 | 43 | 52.0 | -9.0 |
| 19 | Ceuta | 42 | 51 | 47.3 | 55.8 | -8.5 | 61 | 52.4 | +8.6 |
| 20 | Huesca | 42 | 41 | 42.1 | 51.8 | -9.7 | 38 | 50.3 | -12.3 |
| 21 | Cordoba | 42 | 57 | 54.7 | 65.2 | -10.5 | 61 | 52.8 | +8.2 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 42 | 35 | 42.5 | 54.4 | -11.9 | 36 | 49.1 | -13.1 |
| 1 | Malaga | 21 | 42 | 41.2 | 25.2 | +16.0 | 43 | 38.9 | +4.1 |
| 2 | Las Palmas | 21 | 33 | 31.4 | 17.8 | +13.6 | 42 | 37.8 | +4.2 |
| 3 | Sp Gijon | 21 | 35 | 32.5 | 19.1 | +13.4 | 39 | 37.9 | +1.1 |
| 4 | Santander | 21 | 55 | 37.5 | 24.8 | +12.7 | 47 | 36.8 | +10.2 |
| 5 | Andorra | 21 | 31 | 29.5 | 17.2 | +12.3 | 30 | 37.3 | -7.3 |
| 6 | Eibar | 21 | 37 | 31.8 | 19.7 | +12.2 | 46 | 36.8 | +9.2 |
| 7 | Almeria | 21 | 52 | 36.7 | 25.5 | +11.2 | 47 | 36.0 | +11.0 |
| 8 | Burgos | 21 | 25 | 26.5 | 16.4 | +10.1 | 38 | 35.6 | +2.4 |
| 9 | Sociedad B | 21 | 29 | 29.8 | 21.0 | +8.8 | 29 | 34.7 | -5.7 |
| 10 | La Coruna | 21 | 31 | 28.2 | 20.1 | +8.1 | 38 | 34.4 | +3.6 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 21 | 28 | 29.4 | 22.0 | +7.4 | 40 | 34.1 | +5.9 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 21 | 23 | 26.2 | 19.2 | +7.0 | 29 | 32.6 | -3.6 |
| 13 | Castellon | 21 | 42 | 30.4 | 24.3 | +6.1 | 43 | 33.7 | +9.3 |
| 14 | Granada | 21 | 28 | 27.3 | 21.7 | +5.6 | 26 | 32.3 | -6.3 |
| 15 | Cultural Leonesa | 21 | 15 | 27.9 | 23.0 | +4.9 | 17 | 31.1 | -14.1 |
| 16 | Albacete | 21 | 30 | 28.3 | 23.7 | +4.6 | 31 | 31.5 | -0.5 |
| 17 | Leganes | 21 | 23 | 26.4 | 22.2 | +4.3 | 27 | 31.2 | -4.2 |
| 18 | Mirandes | 21 | 22 | 29.5 | 25.3 | +4.2 | 23 | 31.2 | -8.2 |
| 19 | Huesca | 21 | 23 | 24.6 | 20.8 | +3.8 | 28 | 31.3 | -3.3 |
| 20 | Cordoba | 21 | 28 | 29.5 | 28.5 | +1.0 | 32 | 30.2 | +1.8 |
| 21 | Cadiz | 21 | 21 | 23.0 | 22.9 | +0.1 | 23 | 29.3 | -6.3 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 21 | 18 | 22.6 | 23.7 | -1.2 | 18 | 27.7 | -9.7 |
| 1 | Santander | 21 | 35 | 25.7 | 24.7 | +0.9 | 35 | 29.5 | +5.5 |
| 2 | Sociedad B | 21 | 23 | 25.6 | 26.3 | -0.7 | 18 | 28.5 | -10.5 |
| 3 | Albacete | 21 | 26 | 22.4 | 23.9 | -1.5 | 28 | 27.8 | +0.2 |
| 4 | Castellon | 21 | 28 | 24.3 | 27.0 | -2.7 | 29 | 27.3 | +1.7 |
| 5 | Malaga | 21 | 33 | 24.9 | 27.9 | -3.0 | 30 | 26.5 | +3.5 |
| 6 | La Coruna | 21 | 34 | 23.8 | 27.7 | -3.9 | 39 | 26.1 | +12.9 |
| 7 | Cultural Leonesa | 21 | 24 | 24.7 | 29.5 | -4.9 | 20 | 25.9 | -5.9 |
| 8 | Leganes | 21 | 20 | 21.7 | 27.5 | -5.8 | 19 | 24.9 | -5.9 |
| 9 | Sp Gijon | 21 | 25 | 22.2 | 30.0 | -7.9 | 22 | 23.1 | -1.1 |
| 10 | Mirandes | 21 | 25 | 22.2 | 30.2 | -8.0 | 17 | 23.1 | -6.1 |
| 11 | Cadiz | 21 | 20 | 17.8 | 25.8 | -8.0 | 20 | 22.7 | -2.7 |
| 12 | Las Palmas | 21 | 24 | 21.3 | 29.7 | -8.4 | 31 | 23.1 | +7.9 |
| 13 | Andorra | 21 | 31 | 26.8 | 35.2 | -8.4 | 28 | 23.3 | +4.7 |
| 14 | Granada | 21 | 22 | 20.6 | 29.0 | -8.4 | 22 | 23.0 | -1.0 |
| 15 | Burgos | 21 | 23 | 17.2 | 26.8 | -9.6 | 34 | 21.6 | +12.4 |
| 16 | Almeria | 21 | 29 | 26.1 | 35.8 | -9.8 | 27 | 22.8 | +4.2 |
| 17 | Eibar | 21 | 15 | 16.4 | 26.9 | -10.4 | 21 | 20.7 | +0.3 |
| 18 | Zaragoza | 21 | 17 | 20.0 | 30.7 | -10.7 | 18 | 21.4 | -3.4 |
| 19 | Cordoba | 21 | 29 | 25.3 | 36.8 | -11.5 | 29 | 22.6 | +6.4 |
| 20 | Huesca | 21 | 18 | 17.5 | 31.0 | -13.5 | 10 | 19.0 | -9.0 |
| 21 | Valladolid | 21 | 21 | 19.8 | 34.0 | -14.2 | 17 | 19.5 | -2.5 |
| 22 | Ceuta | 21 | 23 | 17.9 | 33.8 | -15.9 | 21 | 18.3 | +2.7 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 42 | 20 | 36 | 24 | 31 | 64% | 5 | 4 |
| Almeria | 42 | 37 | 44 | 23 | 40 | 54% | 1 | 3 |
| Andorra | 42 | 25 | 37 | 22 | 32 | 60% | 3 | 2 |
| Burgos | 42 | 24 | 24 | 17 | 16 | 50% | 0 | 1 |
| Cadiz | 42 | 17 | 24 | 31 | 30 | 59% | 2 | 1 |
| Castellon | 42 | 34 | 36 | 20 | 31 | 51% | 2 | 3 |
| Ceuta | 42 | 30 | 21 | 32 | 31 | 41% | 1 | 1 |
| Cordoba | 42 | 21 | 36 | 32 | 29 | 63% | 2 | 1 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 19 | 20 | 33 | 35 | 51% | 0 | 3 |
| Eibar | 42 | 23 | 29 | 19 | 21 | 56% | 5 | 2 |
| Granada | 42 | 31 | 19 | 26 | 30 | 38% | 2 | 2 |
| Huesca | 42 | 15 | 26 | 28 | 35 | 63% | 2 | 4 |
| La Coruna | 42 | 28 | 37 | 22 | 22 | 57% | 7 | 3 |
| Las Palmas | 42 | 30 | 27 | 16 | 24 | 47% | 2 | 4 |
| Leganes | 42 | 16 | 27 | 20 | 31 | 63% | 2 | 2 |
| Malaga | 42 | 33 | 42 | 17 | 35 | 56% | 5 | 5 |
| Mirandes | 42 | 21 | 26 | 32 | 37 | 55% | 3 | 4 |
| Santander | 42 | 36 | 54 | 28 | 33 | 60% | 4 | 3 |
| Sociedad B | 42 | 21 | 31 | 29 | 32 | 60% | 0 | 1 |
| Sp Gijon | 42 | 28 | 32 | 23 | 31 | 53% | 3 | 5 |
| Valladolid | 42 | 21 | 23 | 26 | 31 | 52% | 3 | 3 |
| Zaragoza | 42 | 13 | 22 | 23 | 36 | 63% | 4 | 1 |
| League total | 924 | 543 | 673 | 543 | 673 | 55% | 58 | 58 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 21 | 43% | 1.48 | 1.33 | +0.14 | -0.10 | +0.14 |
| Almeria | 21 | 71% | 2.24 | 1.29 | +0.95 | +1.05 | -0.19 |
| Andorra | 21 | 38% | 1.43 | 1.33 | +0.10 | +0.29 | +0.10 |
| Burgos | 21 | 48% | 1.81 | 1.62 | +0.19 | +0.62 | +0.10 |
| Cadiz | 21 | 33% | 1.10 | 0.95 | +0.14 | -0.33 | -0.62 |
| Castellon | 21 | 62% | 2.05 | 1.38 | +0.67 | +0.81 | +0.10 |
| Ceuta | 21 | 57% | 1.90 | 1.00 | +0.90 | +0.24 | -0.81 |
| Cordoba | 21 | 43% | 1.52 | 1.38 | +0.14 | 0.00 | -0.19 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 21 | 19% | 0.81 | 0.95 | -0.14 | -0.81 | -0.57 |
| Eibar | 21 | 67% | 2.19 | 1.00 | +1.19 | +0.95 | -0.38 |
| Granada | 21 | 29% | 1.24 | 1.05 | +0.19 | +0.14 | -0.43 |
| Huesca | 21 | 33% | 1.33 | 0.48 | +0.86 | -0.05 | -1.00 |
| La Coruna | 21 | 52% | 1.81 | 1.86 | -0.05 | +0.43 | +0.57 |
| Las Palmas | 21 | 57% | 2.00 | 1.48 | +0.52 | +0.90 | -0.10 |
| Leganes | 21 | 33% | 1.29 | 0.90 | +0.38 | 0.00 | -0.38 |
| Malaga | 21 | 57% | 2.05 | 1.43 | +0.62 | +0.86 | +0.24 |
| Mirandes | 21 | 29% | 1.10 | 0.81 | +0.29 | -0.43 | -0.62 |
| Santander | 21 | 71% | 2.24 | 1.67 | +0.57 | +1.24 | +0.14 |
| Sociedad B | 21 | 33% | 1.38 | 0.86 | +0.52 | +0.10 | -0.52 |
| Sp Gijon | 21 | 52% | 1.86 | 1.05 | +0.81 | +0.62 | -0.33 |
| Valladolid | 21 | 38% | 1.38 | 0.81 | +0.57 | +0.10 | -0.71 |
| Zaragoza | 21 | 19% | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.00 | -0.62 | -0.52 |
| League total | 462 | 45% | 1.59 | 1.16 | +0.44 | +0.27 | -0.27 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 9 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albacete | 42 | 214 | 233 | 5.1 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 4.8 |
| Almeria | 42 | 203 | 188 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 6.0 | 3.7 |
| Andorra | 42 | 205 | 178 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| Burgos | 42 | 156 | 198 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 4.2 | 3.2 |
| Cadiz | 42 | 186 | 219 | 4.4 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 3.3 |
| Castellon | 42 | 263 | 154 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 6.3 |
| Ceuta | 42 | 170 | 204 | 4.0 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 3.2 |
| Cordoba | 42 | 268 | 182 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| Cultural Leonesa | 42 | 164 | 200 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Eibar | 42 | 183 | 210 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Granada | 42 | 182 | 206 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Huesca | 42 | 190 | 222 | 4.5 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 3.9 |
| La Coruna | 42 | 210 | 181 | 5.0 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Las Palmas | 42 | 184 | 156 | 4.4 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
| Leganes | 42 | 197 | 203 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5.7 | 3.7 |
| Malaga | 42 | 178 | 198 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 4.1 | 4.3 |
| Mirandes | 42 | 182 | 211 | 4.3 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 3.4 |
| Santander | 42 | 238 | 199 | 5.7 | 4.7 | 7.0 | 4.4 |
| Sociedad B | 42 | 159 | 228 | 3.8 | 5.4 | 3.8 | 3.8 |
| Sp Gijon | 42 | 192 | 225 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 3.9 |
| Valladolid | 42 | 224 | 146 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 6.1 | 4.6 |
| Zaragoza | 42 | 210 | 217 | 5.0 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| League total | 924 | 4358 | 4358 | 4.7 | 4.7 | — | — |