La Liga
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
Top xG
- Real Madrid70.8
- Barcelona69.0
- Ath Madrid56.4
- Betis55.9
- Villarreal55.4
Biggest over-performers
- Barcelona+20.5
- Real Madrid+11.4
- Villarreal+11.3
- Getafe+8.3
- Betis+7.1
Best defences (lowest xGA)
- Barcelona33.6
- Real Madrid34.9
- Ath Madrid37.1
- Villarreal41.7
- Valencia47.2
Biggest xG difference
- Real Madrid+35.9
- Barcelona+35.4
- Ath Madrid+19.4
- Villarreal+13.6
- Mallorca+2.2
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 77 | 70.8 | 34.9 | +35.9 | 86 | 74.6 | +11.4 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 95 | 69.0 | 33.6 | +35.4 | 94 | 73.5 | +20.5 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 38 | 62 | 56.4 | 37.1 | +19.4 | 69 | 64.8 | +4.2 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 38 | 72 | 55.4 | 41.7 | +13.6 | 72 | 60.7 | +11.3 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 38 | 47 | 52.3 | 50.0 | +2.2 | 42 | 53.3 | -11.3 |
| 6 | Sociedad | 38 | 59 | 53.1 | 52.9 | +0.2 | 46 | 53.8 | -7.8 |
| 7 | Alaves | 38 | 44 | 47.1 | 47.3 | -0.2 | 43 | 51.0 | -8.0 |
| 8 | Betis | 38 | 59 | 55.9 | 56.1 | -0.2 | 60 | 52.9 | +7.1 |
| 9 | Celta | 38 | 53 | 51.3 | 51.7 | -0.4 | 54 | 52.1 | +1.9 |
| 10 | Girona | 38 | 39 | 49.6 | 50.8 | -1.1 | 41 | 51.9 | -10.9 |
| 11 | Vallecano | 38 | 41 | 51.8 | 56.5 | -4.8 | 50 | 50.3 | -0.3 |
| 12 | Osasuna | 38 | 44 | 48.9 | 54.1 | -5.1 | 42 | 48.2 | -6.2 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 43 | 48.9 | 55.8 | -6.9 | 45 | 48.7 | -3.7 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 46 | 41.9 | 50.6 | -8.8 | 43 | 46.3 | -3.3 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 49 | 47.5 | 57.1 | -9.6 | 43 | 47.4 | -4.4 |
| 16 | Valencia | 38 | 46 | 36.8 | 47.2 | -10.4 | 49 | 46.3 | +2.7 |
| 17 | Getafe | 38 | 32 | 36.0 | 49.1 | -13.0 | 51 | 42.7 | +8.3 |
| 18 | Espanol | 38 | 43 | 47.7 | 60.9 | -13.2 | 46 | 45.4 | +0.6 |
| 19 | Levante | 38 | 47 | 44.8 | 59.4 | -14.5 | 42 | 44.2 | -2.2 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 38 | 26 | 39.2 | 57.7 | -18.5 | 29 | 40.7 | -11.7 |
| 1 | Barcelona | 19 | 57 | 39.9 | 11.6 | +28.3 | 57 | 43.1 | +13.9 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 19 | 45 | 42.3 | 16.2 | +26.1 | 49 | 42.0 | +7.0 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 39 | 35.0 | 13.9 | +21.1 | 46 | 39.5 | +6.5 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 19 | 48 | 35.0 | 18.1 | +16.9 | 46 | 36.4 | +9.6 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 19 | 31 | 32.1 | 21.1 | +11.1 | 33 | 32.4 | +0.6 |
| 6 | Osasuna | 19 | 31 | 31.5 | 23.4 | +8.1 | 32 | 30.8 | +1.2 |
| 7 | Betis | 19 | 34 | 31.9 | 24.4 | +7.4 | 36 | 30.8 | +5.2 |
| 8 | Vallecano | 19 | 24 | 30.8 | 23.7 | +7.2 | 31 | 31.0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | Sociedad | 19 | 37 | 29.4 | 22.8 | +6.6 | 29 | 30.9 | -1.9 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 19 | 22 | 28.2 | 21.6 | +6.5 | 30 | 30.3 | -0.3 |
| 11 | Elche | 19 | 30 | 29.3 | 23.6 | +5.6 | 35 | 29.8 | +5.2 |
| 12 | Celta | 19 | 29 | 28.3 | 23.4 | +4.9 | 23 | 29.7 | -6.7 |
| 13 | Alaves | 19 | 25 | 26.3 | 22.3 | +4.0 | 27 | 28.3 | -1.3 |
| 14 | Espanol | 19 | 21 | 28.8 | 24.8 | +4.0 | 26 | 28.4 | -2.4 |
| 15 | Girona | 19 | 21 | 25.8 | 22.0 | +3.8 | 24 | 28.3 | -4.3 |
| 16 | Sevilla | 19 | 24 | 24.5 | 21.5 | +3.0 | 25 | 28.5 | -3.5 |
| 17 | Valencia | 19 | 27 | 19.6 | 17.6 | +2.0 | 30 | 27.1 | +2.9 |
| 18 | Getafe | 19 | 18 | 21.2 | 20.9 | +0.3 | 27 | 26.3 | +0.7 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 19 | 9 | 20.2 | 22.5 | -2.3 | 19 | 24.7 | -5.7 |
| 20 | Levante | 19 | 26 | 23.0 | 26.2 | -3.2 | 26 | 24.1 | +1.9 |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 19 | 32 | 28.5 | 18.8 | +9.7 | 37 | 32.5 | +4.5 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 19 | 38 | 29.1 | 22.0 | +7.1 | 37 | 30.4 | +6.6 |
| 3 | Ath Madrid | 19 | 23 | 21.5 | 23.2 | -1.7 | 23 | 25.3 | -2.3 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 19 | 24 | 20.4 | 23.7 | -3.3 | 26 | 24.2 | +1.8 |
| 5 | Alaves | 19 | 19 | 20.9 | 25.0 | -4.2 | 16 | 22.8 | -6.8 |
| 6 | Girona | 19 | 18 | 23.9 | 28.8 | -4.9 | 17 | 23.7 | -6.7 |
| 7 | Celta | 19 | 24 | 22.9 | 28.3 | -5.3 | 31 | 22.4 | +8.6 |
| 8 | Sociedad | 19 | 22 | 23.7 | 30.1 | -6.4 | 17 | 22.9 | -5.9 |
| 9 | Betis | 19 | 25 | 24.1 | 31.7 | -7.6 | 24 | 22.1 | +1.9 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 19 | 16 | 20.2 | 29.0 | -8.8 | 9 | 20.9 | -11.9 |
| 11 | Levante | 19 | 21 | 21.9 | 33.2 | -11.3 | 16 | 20.1 | -4.1 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 19 | 22 | 17.4 | 29.1 | -11.7 | 18 | 17.8 | +0.2 |
| 13 | Vallecano | 19 | 17 | 20.9 | 32.8 | -11.9 | 19 | 19.4 | -0.4 |
| 14 | Valencia | 19 | 19 | 17.2 | 29.7 | -12.4 | 19 | 19.2 | -0.2 |
| 15 | Osasuna | 19 | 13 | 17.4 | 30.6 | -13.2 | 10 | 17.4 | -7.4 |
| 16 | Getafe | 19 | 14 | 14.8 | 28.1 | -13.3 | 24 | 16.4 | +7.6 |
| 17 | Ath Bilbao | 19 | 21 | 20.7 | 34.2 | -13.5 | 15 | 18.3 | -3.3 |
| 18 | Elche | 19 | 19 | 18.2 | 33.5 | -15.2 | 8 | 17.6 | -9.6 |
| 19 | Oviedo | 19 | 17 | 19.1 | 35.3 | -16.2 | 10 | 16.0 | -6.0 |
| 20 | Espanol | 19 | 22 | 18.9 | 36.1 | -17.2 | 20 | 17.0 | +3.0 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 38 | 20 | 24 | 19 | 37 | 55% | 3 | 4 |
| Ath Bilbao | 38 | 18 | 25 | 22 | 36 | 58% | 7 | 1 |
| Ath Madrid | 38 | 29 | 33 | 22 | 22 | 53% | 1 | 3 |
| Barcelona | 38 | 44 | 51 | 20 | 16 | 54% | 2 | 1 |
| Betis | 38 | 26 | 33 | 27 | 21 | 56% | 6 | 4 |
| Celta | 38 | 19 | 34 | 21 | 27 | 64% | 6 | 6 |
| Elche | 38 | 20 | 29 | 24 | 33 | 59% | 3 | 3 |
| Espanol | 38 | 13 | 30 | 22 | 33 | 70% | 4 | 3 |
| Getafe | 38 | 14 | 18 | 15 | 23 | 56% | 2 | 0 |
| Girona | 38 | 16 | 23 | 21 | 34 | 59% | 4 | 6 |
| Levante | 38 | 19 | 28 | 26 | 35 | 60% | 2 | 5 |
| Mallorca | 38 | 19 | 28 | 31 | 26 | 60% | 4 | 3 |
| Osasuna | 38 | 21 | 23 | 17 | 33 | 52% | 1 | 6 |
| Oviedo | 38 | 12 | 14 | 26 | 34 | 54% | 2 | 3 |
| Real Madrid | 38 | 33 | 44 | 14 | 21 | 57% | 2 | 1 |
| Sevilla | 38 | 19 | 27 | 27 | 33 | 59% | 3 | 4 |
| Sociedad | 38 | 25 | 34 | 28 | 33 | 58% | 4 | 5 |
| Valencia | 38 | 12 | 34 | 18 | 37 | 74% | 3 | 3 |
| Vallecano | 38 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 25 | 54% | 4 | 3 |
| Villarreal | 38 | 39 | 33 | 18 | 28 | 46% | 3 | 2 |
| League total | 760 | 437 | 587 | 437 | 587 | 57% | 66 | 66 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 19 | 37% | 1.42 | 0.84 | +0.58 | 0.00 | -0.63 |
| Ath Bilbao | 19 | 47% | 1.58 | 0.79 | +0.79 | +0.05 | -0.84 |
| Ath Madrid | 19 | 79% | 2.42 | 1.21 | +1.21 | +1.16 | -0.21 |
| Barcelona | 19 | 100% | 3.00 | 1.95 | +1.05 | +2.47 | +0.63 |
| Betis | 19 | 53% | 1.89 | 1.26 | +0.63 | +0.79 | -0.21 |
| Celta | 19 | 32% | 1.21 | 1.63 | -0.42 | +0.05 | +0.21 |
| Elche | 19 | 47% | 1.84 | 0.42 | +1.42 | +0.58 | -1.00 |
| Espanol | 19 | 37% | 1.37 | 1.05 | +0.32 | -0.16 | -0.47 |
| Getafe | 19 | 42% | 1.42 | 1.26 | +0.16 | +0.11 | -0.42 |
| Girona | 19 | 32% | 1.26 | 0.89 | +0.37 | -0.32 | -0.53 |
| Levante | 19 | 37% | 1.37 | 0.84 | +0.53 | -0.11 | -0.63 |
| Mallorca | 19 | 47% | 1.74 | 0.47 | +1.26 | +0.53 | -1.05 |
| Osasuna | 19 | 47% | 1.68 | 0.53 | +1.16 | +0.37 | -0.68 |
| Oviedo | 19 | 21% | 1.00 | 0.53 | +0.47 | -0.47 | -1.32 |
| Real Madrid | 19 | 84% | 2.58 | 1.95 | +0.63 | +1.53 | +0.68 |
| Sevilla | 19 | 37% | 1.32 | 0.95 | +0.37 | -0.05 | -0.68 |
| Sociedad | 19 | 42% | 1.53 | 0.89 | +0.63 | +0.32 | -0.42 |
| Valencia | 19 | 42% | 1.58 | 1.00 | +0.58 | +0.21 | -0.68 |
| Vallecano | 19 | 37% | 1.63 | 1.00 | +0.63 | +0.47 | -0.63 |
| Villarreal | 19 | 79% | 2.42 | 1.37 | +1.05 | +1.53 | -0.16 |
| League total | 380 | 49% | 1.71 | 1.04 | +0.67 | +0.45 | -0.45 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 21 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaves | 38 | 192 | 190 | 5.1 | 5.0 | 6.2 | 3.9 |
| Ath Bilbao | 38 | 219 | 146 | 5.8 | 3.8 | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| Ath Madrid | 38 | 246 | 163 | 6.5 | 4.3 | 7.8 | 5.2 |
| Barcelona | 38 | 262 | 168 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 7.1 | 6.7 |
| Betis | 38 | 171 | 195 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Celta | 38 | 144 | 175 | 3.8 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 3.1 |
| Elche | 38 | 144 | 171 | 3.8 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 2.8 |
| Espanol | 38 | 178 | 184 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 4.2 |
| Getafe | 38 | 163 | 176 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Girona | 38 | 159 | 197 | 4.2 | 5.2 | 4.8 | 3.6 |
| Levante | 38 | 162 | 225 | 4.3 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 3.3 |
| Mallorca | 38 | 140 | 239 | 3.7 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 3.4 |
| Osasuna | 38 | 143 | 183 | 3.8 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 2.9 |
| Oviedo | 38 | 150 | 211 | 3.9 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 3.3 |
| Real Madrid | 38 | 239 | 139 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 6.5 | 6.1 |
| Sevilla | 38 | 182 | 173 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Sociedad | 38 | 211 | 171 | 5.6 | 4.5 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Valencia | 38 | 193 | 182 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 4.2 |
| Vallecano | 38 | 216 | 199 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 4.7 |
| Villarreal | 38 | 159 | 186 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 3.0 |
| League total | 760 | 3673 | 3673 | 4.8 | 4.8 | — | — |