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La Liga

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Biggest over-performers

  1. Barcelona+20.5
  2. Real Madrid+11.4
  3. Villarreal+11.3
  4. Getafe+8.3
  5. Betis+7.1

Biggest under-performers

  1. Oviedo-11.7
  2. Mallorca-11.3
  3. Girona-10.9
  4. Alaves-8.0
  5. Sociedad-7.8

Best defences (lowest xGA)

  1. Barcelona33.6
  2. Real Madrid34.9
  3. Ath Madrid37.1
  4. Villarreal41.7
  5. Valencia47.2

Biggest xG difference

  1. Real Madrid+35.9
  2. Barcelona+35.4
  3. Ath Madrid+19.4
  4. Villarreal+13.6
  5. Mallorca+2.2
#TeamMatches played.Goals scored (actual).Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce.Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded.Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA).Actual league points.Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation.Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing.
1Real Madrid387770.834.9+35.98674.6+11.4
2Barcelona389569.033.6+35.49473.5+20.5
3Ath Madrid386256.437.1+19.46964.8+4.2
4Villarreal387255.441.7+13.67260.7+11.3
5Mallorca384752.350.0+2.24253.3-11.3
6Sociedad385953.152.9+0.24653.8-7.8
7Alaves384447.147.3-0.24351.0-8.0
8Betis385955.956.1-0.26052.9+7.1
9Celta385351.351.7-0.45452.1+1.9
10Girona383949.650.8-1.14151.9-10.9
11Vallecano384151.856.5-4.85050.3-0.3
12Osasuna384448.954.1-5.14248.2-6.2
13Ath Bilbao384348.955.8-6.94548.7-3.7
14Sevilla384641.950.6-8.84346.3-3.3
15Elche384947.557.1-9.64347.4-4.4
16Valencia384636.847.2-10.44946.3+2.7
17Getafe383236.049.1-13.05142.7+8.3
18Espanol384347.760.9-13.24645.4+0.6
19Levante384744.859.4-14.54244.2-2.2
20Oviedo382639.257.7-18.52940.7-11.7

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

TeamPldGoals scored in the first half.Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time).Goals conceded in the first half.Goals conceded in the second half.Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful.Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing.Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing.
Alaves382024193755%34
Ath Bilbao381825223658%71
Ath Madrid382933222253%13
Barcelona384451201654%21
Betis382633272156%64
Celta381934212764%66
Elche382029243359%33
Espanol381330223370%43
Getafe381418152356%20
Girona381623213459%46
Levante381928263560%25
Mallorca381928312660%43
Osasuna382123173352%16
Oviedo381214263454%23
Real Madrid383344142157%21
Sevilla381927273359%34
Sociedad382534283358%45
Valencia381234183774%33
Vallecano381922192554%43
Villarreal383933182846%32
League total76043758743758757%6666

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

0.920.362000/012025/26
TeamHPHome win percentage.Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw).Away points per game.Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few.Home goal difference per game.Away goal difference per game.
Alaves1937%1.420.84+0.580.00-0.63
Ath Bilbao1947%1.580.79+0.79+0.05-0.84
Ath Madrid1979%2.421.21+1.21+1.16-0.21
Barcelona19100%3.001.95+1.05+2.47+0.63
Betis1953%1.891.26+0.63+0.79-0.21
Celta1932%1.211.63-0.42+0.05+0.21
Elche1947%1.840.42+1.42+0.58-1.00
Espanol1937%1.371.05+0.32-0.16-0.47
Getafe1942%1.421.26+0.16+0.11-0.42
Girona1932%1.260.89+0.37-0.32-0.53
Levante1937%1.370.84+0.53-0.11-0.63
Mallorca1947%1.740.47+1.26+0.53-1.05
Osasuna1947%1.680.53+1.16+0.37-0.68
Oviedo1921%1.000.53+0.47-0.47-1.32
Real Madrid1984%2.581.95+0.63+1.53+0.68
Sevilla1937%1.320.95+0.37-0.05-0.68
Sociedad1942%1.530.89+0.63+0.32-0.42
Valencia1942%1.581.00+0.58+0.21-0.68
Vallecano1937%1.631.00+0.63+0.47-0.63
Villarreal1979%2.421.37+1.05+1.53-0.16
League total38049%1.711.04+0.67+0.45-0.45

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 21 seasons — the decline:

5.64.42005/062025/26
TeamPldCorners won (total).Corners conceded (total).Corners won per game.Corners conceded per game.Home corners won per game.Away corners won per game.
Alaves381921905.15.06.23.9
Ath Bilbao382191465.83.86.35.2
Ath Madrid382461636.54.37.85.2
Barcelona382621686.94.47.16.7
Betis381711954.55.14.64.4
Celta381441753.84.64.53.1
Elche381441713.84.54.82.8
Espanol381781844.74.85.24.2
Getafe381631764.34.64.24.4
Girona381591974.25.24.83.6
Levante381622254.35.95.23.3
Mallorca381402393.76.34.03.4
Osasuna381431833.84.84.62.9
Oviedo381502113.95.64.63.3
Real Madrid382391396.33.76.56.1
Sevilla381821734.84.64.65.0
Sociedad382111715.64.55.95.2
Valencia381931825.14.86.04.2
Vallecano382161995.75.26.64.7
Villarreal381591864.24.95.43.0
League total760367336734.84.8