Eredivisie

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Biggest over-performers

Biggest under-performers

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Biggest xG difference

PSV Eindhoven+34.4
Ajax+27.1
Twente+24.6
Feyenoord+23.1
Groningen+17.7

#	Team
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	101	71.2	36.8	+34.4	84	65.9	+18.1
2	Ajax	34	62	63.3	36.2	+27.1	56	61.1	-5.1
3	Twente	34	59	68.0	43.4	+24.6	58	59.3	-1.3
4	Feyenoord	34	70	62.8	39.6	+23.1	65	60.5	+4.5
5	Groningen	34	49	58.0	40.3	+17.7	48	56.8	-8.8
6	AZ Alkmaar	34	58	60.7	43.6	+17.1	52	56.0	-4.0
7	Nijmegen	34	77	67.7	53.6	+14.1	59	54.7	+4.3
8	Utrecht	34	55	58.0	50.6	+7.4	53	50.6	+2.4
9	Go Ahead Eagles	34	54	54.1	54.9	-0.8	38	46.1	-8.1
10	Telstar	34	49	53.5	58.8	-5.3	37	43.9	-6.9
11	Heerenveen	34	57	54.5	61.0	-6.5	51	44.5	+6.5
12	Volendam	34	35	43.0	55.9	-12.9	32	41.1	-9.1
13	Sparta Rotterdam	34	40	47.2	66.6	-19.4	43	39.5	+3.5
14	Excelsior	34	43	46.0	65.6	-19.5	38	36.4	+1.6
15	For Sittard	34	49	48.1	67.8	-19.7	39	37.5	+1.5
16	NAC Breda	34	35	43.7	65.0	-21.3	29	35.9	-6.9
17	Zwolle	34	44	40.7	67.3	-26.6	37	34.7	+2.3
18	Heracles	34	35	41.0	74.5	-33.5	19	30.3	-11.3
1	Twente	17	29	38.6	17.5	+21.1	32	34.0	-2.0
2	Ajax	17	32	36.6	16.2	+20.4	31	34.2	-3.2
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	58	37.3	18.1	+19.2	41	34.3	+6.7
4	Feyenoord	17	39	35.9	17.0	+19.0	36	35.4	+0.6
5	AZ Alkmaar	17	39	33.8	20.0	+13.8	31	32.0	-1.0
6	Go Ahead Eagles	17	34	34.8	23.0	+11.9	25	29.7	-4.7
7	Nijmegen	17	41	35.0	24.0	+11.0	32	29.3	+2.7
8	Groningen	17	27	27.5	17.6	+9.9	25	29.3	-4.3
9	Utrecht	17	31	32.2	22.7	+9.4	33	28.1	+4.9
10	Telstar	17	31	31.1	24.9	+6.2	20	27.4	-7.4
11	Volendam	17	24	26.7	20.7	+6.0	23	27.4	-4.4
12	Heerenveen	17	33	30.4	27.9	+2.5	30	24.5	+5.5
13	Sparta Rotterdam	17	21	27.6	31.9	-4.2	23	22.6	+0.4
14	Excelsior	17	20	24.6	29.5	-4.9	18	21.2	-3.2
15	Zwolle	17	21	21.4	27.5	-6.2	28	20.4	+7.6
16	NAC Breda	17	20	24.1	30.4	-6.3	20	20.1	-0.1
17	For Sittard	17	28	23.0	30.5	-7.4	25	20.3	+4.7
18	Heracles	17	23	26.7	34.7	-7.9	15	20.0	-5.0
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	43	33.9	18.7	+15.2	43	31.6	+11.4
2	Groningen	17	22	30.5	22.7	+7.8	23	27.5	-4.5
3	Ajax	17	30	26.7	20.0	+6.7	25	27.0	-2.0
4	Feyenoord	17	31	26.8	22.7	+4.2	29	25.1	+3.9
5	Twente	17	30	29.4	25.9	+3.5	26	25.3	+0.7
6	AZ Alkmaar	17	19	26.9	23.6	+3.4	21	24.0	-3.0
7	Nijmegen	17	36	32.7	29.6	+3.1	27	25.4	+1.6
8	Utrecht	17	24	25.8	27.8	-2.0	20	22.5	-2.5
9	Heerenveen	17	24	24.1	33.0	-8.9	21	20.0	+1.0
10	Telstar	17	18	22.4	33.9	-11.5	17	16.5	+0.5
11	For Sittard	17	21	25.1	37.3	-12.2	14	17.2	-3.2
12	Go Ahead Eagles	17	20	19.3	31.9	-12.7	13	16.4	-3.4
13	Excelsior	17	23	21.4	36.0	-14.6	20	15.2	+4.8
14	NAC Breda	17	15	19.5	34.6	-15.1	9	15.7	-6.7
15	Sparta Rotterdam	17	19	19.6	34.8	-15.2	20	16.8	+3.2
16	Volendam	17	11	16.3	35.2	-18.9	9	13.8	-4.8
17	Zwolle	17	23	19.3	39.8	-20.5	9	14.3	-5.3
18	Heracles	17	12	14.3	39.8	-25.5	4	10.2	-6.2

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
AZ Alkmaar	34	32	26	24	27	45%	1	4
Ajax	34	36	26	17	24	42%	2	5
Excelsior	34	21	22	22	34	51%	3	4
Feyenoord	34	32	38	20	24	54%	4	2
For Sittard	34	25	24	31	32	49%	1	3
Go Ahead Eagles	34	23	31	27	26	57%	5	3
Groningen	34	21	28	18	27	57%	1	1
Heerenveen	34	25	32	25	28	56%	4	4
Heracles	34	18	17	38	47	49%	3	3
NAC Breda	34	14	21	29	29	60%	4	5
Nijmegen	34	30	47	30	23	61%	6	1
PSV Eindhoven	34	50	51	23	22	50%	4	0
Sparta Rotterdam	34	15	25	18	44	63%	1	2
Telstar	34	19	30	24	31	61%	0	4
Twente	34	22	37	15	25	63%	4	3
Utrecht	34	23	32	16	26	58%	2	4
Volendam	34	13	22	32	23	63%	4	3
Zwolle	34	23	21	33	38	48%	3	1
League total	612	442	530	442	530	55%	52	52

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
AZ Alkmaar	17	47%	1.82	1.24	+0.59	+0.76	-0.35
Ajax	17	53%	1.82	1.47	+0.35	+0.88	+0.35
Excelsior	17	29%	1.06	1.18	-0.12	-0.12	-0.65
Feyenoord	17	65%	2.12	1.71	+0.41	+0.94	+0.59
For Sittard	17	41%	1.47	0.82	+0.65	-0.06	-0.76
Go Ahead Eagles	17	35%	1.47	0.76	+0.71	+0.59	-0.53
Groningen	17	41%	1.47	1.35	+0.12	+0.53	-0.29
Heerenveen	17	47%	1.76	1.24	+0.53	+0.53	-0.29
Heracles	17	24%	0.88	0.24	+0.65	-0.76	-2.18
NAC Breda	17	29%	1.18	0.53	+0.65	-0.18	-1.18
Nijmegen	17	53%	1.88	1.59	+0.29	+0.94	+0.47
PSV Eindhoven	17	76%	2.41	2.53	-0.12	+1.88	+1.41
Sparta Rotterdam	17	35%	1.35	1.18	+0.18	-0.35	-0.94
Telstar	17	29%	1.18	1.00	+0.18	+0.18	-0.53
Twente	17	53%	1.88	1.53	+0.35	+0.76	+0.35
Utrecht	17	59%	1.94	1.18	+0.76	+1.06	-0.29
Volendam	17	35%	1.35	0.53	+0.82	+0.06	-1.24
Zwolle	17	47%	1.65	0.53	+1.12	0.00	-1.59
League total	306	44%	1.59	1.14	+0.45	+0.42	-0.42

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 9 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
AZ Alkmaar	34	196	154	5.8	4.5	5.9	5.6
Ajax	34	164	179	4.8	5.3	5.3	4.4
Excelsior	34	139	178	4.1	5.2	4.2	4.0
Feyenoord	34	246	114	7.2	3.4	7.9	6.6
For Sittard	34	147	230	4.3	6.8	4.9	3.7
Go Ahead Eagles	34	185	208	5.4	6.1	6.5	4.4
Groningen	34	212	168	6.2	4.9	6.9	5.6
Heerenveen	34	189	169	5.6	5.0	5.9	5.2
Heracles	34	153	204	4.5	6.0	4.8	4.2
NAC Breda	34	196	147	5.8	4.3	6.1	5.5
Nijmegen	34	208	133	6.1	3.9	6.8	5.5
PSV Eindhoven	34	243	150	7.1	4.4	7.6	6.7
Sparta Rotterdam	34	153	226	4.5	6.6	4.6	4.4
Telstar	34	161	215	4.7	6.3	5.4	4.1
Twente	34	182	141	5.4	4.1	5.7	5.0
Utrecht	34	176	152	5.2	4.5	5.1	5.2
Volendam	34	127	224	3.7	6.6	4.5	3.0
Zwolle	34	122	207	3.6	6.1	4.1	3.1
League total	612	3199	3199	5.2	5.2	—	—