Serie B
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 77 | 62.1 | 37.8 | +24.3 | 82 | 67.5 | +14.5 |
| 2 | Monza | 38 | 61 | 51.3 | 31.3 | +19.9 | 76 | 64.4 | +11.6 |
| 3 | Catanzaro | 38 | 62 | 50.8 | 42.7 | +8.2 | 59 | 57.4 | +1.6 |
| 4 | Mantova | 38 | 45 | 50.7 | 46.4 | +4.3 | 46 | 54.9 | -8.9 |
| 5 | Frosinone | 38 | 76 | 57.8 | 53.5 | +4.2 | 81 | 55.4 | +25.6 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 49 | 48.6 | 44.4 | +4.2 | 55 | 54.7 | +0.3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 38 | 61 | 48.5 | 44.3 | +4.2 | 72 | 53.9 | +18.1 |
| 8 | Empoli | 38 | 47 | 45.9 | 45.4 | +0.5 | 41 | 51.5 | -10.5 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 38 | 47 | 43.4 | 43.3 | +0.1 | 44 | 52.6 | -8.6 |
| 10 | Sampdoria | 38 | 35 | 39.8 | 41.1 | -1.3 | 44 | 50.5 | -6.5 |
| 11 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 44 | 45.1 | 47.5 | -2.4 | 51 | 51.6 | -0.6 |
| 12 | Cesena | 38 | 45 | 44.4 | 47.3 | -2.9 | 46 | 49.7 | -3.7 |
| 13 | Spezia | 38 | 43 | 44.8 | 47.8 | -3.0 | 35 | 49.6 | -14.6 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 38 | 38 | 39.8 | 42.8 | -3.0 | 41 | 49.8 | -8.8 |
| 15 | Avellino | 38 | 43 | 41.3 | 44.8 | -3.5 | 49 | 48.9 | +0.1 |
| 16 | Virtus Entella | 38 | 36 | 40.6 | 45.0 | -4.4 | 42 | 48.8 | -6.8 |
| 17 | Padova | 38 | 39 | 42.5 | 48.6 | -6.0 | 46 | 47.5 | -1.5 |
| 18 | Pescara | 38 | 51 | 51.1 | 63.1 | -12.0 | 35 | 45.3 | -10.3 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 38 | 36 | 39.9 | 55.4 | -15.5 | 37 | 43.7 | -6.7 |
| 20 | Bari | 38 | 38 | 39.1 | 55.1 | -16.0 | 40 | 42.4 | -2.4 |
| 1 | Venezia | 19 | 44 | 36.8 | 16.1 | +20.7 | 51 | 39.0 | +12.0 |
| 2 | Monza | 19 | 34 | 27.9 | 13.9 | +14.1 | 46 | 34.9 | +11.1 |
| 3 | Empoli | 19 | 28 | 27.7 | 16.5 | +11.2 | 26 | 33.0 | -7.0 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 19 | 42 | 31.9 | 21.7 | +10.2 | 41 | 32.9 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 34 | 27.6 | 18.1 | +9.6 | 35 | 32.4 | +2.6 |
| 6 | Virtus Entella | 19 | 27 | 26.3 | 16.8 | +9.6 | 34 | 32.5 | +1.5 |
| 7 | Palermo | 19 | 38 | 29.3 | 20.3 | +9.0 | 46 | 30.8 | +15.2 |
| 8 | Modena | 19 | 28 | 28.0 | 19.1 | +8.9 | 31 | 32.0 | -1.0 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 19 | 26 | 25.2 | 16.5 | +8.8 | 29 | 32.2 | -3.2 |
| 10 | Mantova | 19 | 28 | 28.6 | 20.0 | +8.5 | 30 | 32.0 | -2.0 |
| 11 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 25 | 24.6 | 18.7 | +6.0 | 33 | 30.2 | +2.8 |
| 12 | Spezia | 19 | 23 | 24.6 | 18.8 | +5.8 | 21 | 29.8 | -8.8 |
| 13 | Avellino | 19 | 26 | 26.1 | 20.7 | +5.3 | 32 | 29.6 | +2.4 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 19 | 22 | 22.4 | 18.3 | +4.0 | 32 | 28.4 | +3.6 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 19 | 19 | 21.3 | 18.0 | +3.4 | 22 | 27.9 | -5.9 |
| 16 | Bari | 19 | 23 | 24.2 | 21.3 | +3.0 | 26 | 27.5 | -1.5 |
| 17 | Cesena | 19 | 28 | 25.4 | 24.5 | +0.9 | 24 | 26.7 | -2.7 |
| 18 | Padova | 19 | 21 | 22.8 | 22.3 | +0.5 | 25 | 26.3 | -1.3 |
| 19 | Pescara | 19 | 28 | 29.7 | 29.3 | +0.3 | 22 | 25.7 | -3.7 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 19 | 21 | 22.9 | 23.3 | -0.4 | 25 | 26.5 | -1.5 |
| 1 | Monza | 19 | 27 | 23.3 | 17.5 | +5.9 | 30 | 29.5 | +0.5 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 33 | 25.3 | 21.8 | +3.6 | 31 | 28.5 | +2.5 |
| 3 | Catanzaro | 19 | 28 | 23.2 | 24.6 | -1.4 | 24 | 25.0 | -1.0 |
| 4 | Cesena | 19 | 17 | 19.1 | 22.8 | -3.8 | 22 | 23.0 | -1.0 |
| 5 | Mantova | 19 | 17 | 22.1 | 26.3 | -4.3 | 16 | 22.9 | -6.9 |
| 6 | Modena | 19 | 21 | 20.6 | 25.3 | -4.7 | 24 | 22.7 | +1.3 |
| 7 | Palermo | 19 | 23 | 19.2 | 24.0 | -4.8 | 26 | 23.1 | +2.9 |
| 8 | Sampdoria | 19 | 13 | 17.4 | 22.7 | -5.3 | 12 | 22.1 | -10.1 |
| 9 | Frosinone | 19 | 34 | 25.8 | 31.9 | -6.0 | 40 | 22.6 | +17.4 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 19 | 19 | 18.5 | 24.8 | -6.3 | 19 | 21.9 | -2.9 |
| 11 | Padova | 19 | 18 | 19.7 | 26.3 | -6.5 | 21 | 21.2 | -0.2 |
| 12 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 19 | 20.5 | 28.9 | -8.4 | 18 | 21.5 | -3.5 |
| 13 | Carrarese | 19 | 21 | 18.1 | 26.8 | -8.7 | 15 | 20.4 | -5.4 |
| 14 | Spezia | 19 | 20 | 20.3 | 29.0 | -8.7 | 14 | 19.7 | -5.7 |
| 15 | Avellino | 19 | 17 | 15.2 | 24.1 | -8.8 | 17 | 19.3 | -2.3 |
| 16 | Empoli | 19 | 19 | 18.2 | 28.9 | -10.7 | 15 | 18.6 | -3.6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 19 | 23 | 21.5 | 33.8 | -12.3 | 13 | 19.6 | -6.6 |
| 18 | Virtus Entella | 19 | 9 | 14.3 | 28.3 | -14.0 | 8 | 16.3 | -8.3 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 19 | 15 | 16.9 | 32.0 | -15.1 | 12 | 17.3 | -5.3 |
| 20 | Bari | 19 | 15 | 14.9 | 33.8 | -18.9 | 14 | 14.8 | -0.8 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 38 | 20 | 23 | 24 | 31 | 53% | 0 | 2 |
| Bari | 38 | 20 | 18 | 23 | 37 | 47% | 1 | 1 |
| Carrarese | 38 | 15 | 32 | 25 | 27 | 68% | 3 | 1 |
| Catanzaro | 38 | 27 | 35 | 24 | 27 | 56% | 7 | 6 |
| Cesena | 38 | 22 | 23 | 26 | 30 | 51% | 3 | 2 |
| Empoli | 38 | 19 | 28 | 23 | 31 | 60% | 6 | 2 |
| Frosinone | 38 | 34 | 42 | 14 | 20 | 55% | 3 | 5 |
| Juve Stabia | 38 | 25 | 19 | 16 | 29 | 43% | 2 | 7 |
| Mantova | 38 | 21 | 24 | 27 | 30 | 53% | 3 | 4 |
| Modena | 38 | 22 | 27 | 18 | 18 | 55% | 4 | 4 |
| Monza | 38 | 25 | 36 | 16 | 16 | 59% | 4 | 1 |
| Padova | 38 | 16 | 23 | 27 | 22 | 59% | 5 | 0 |
| Palermo | 38 | 26 | 35 | 12 | 21 | 57% | 5 | 3 |
| Pescara | 38 | 24 | 27 | 22 | 44 | 53% | 2 | 8 |
| Reggiana | 38 | 20 | 16 | 29 | 27 | 44% | 1 | 1 |
| Sampdoria | 38 | 9 | 26 | 22 | 26 | 74% | 4 | 3 |
| Spezia | 38 | 19 | 24 | 30 | 29 | 56% | 2 | 3 |
| Sudtirol | 38 | 18 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 53% | 5 | 4 |
| Venezia | 38 | 38 | 39 | 12 | 19 | 51% | 2 | 4 |
| Virtus Entella | 38 | 14 | 22 | 19 | 32 | 61% | 3 | 4 |
| League total | 760 | 434 | 539 | 434 | 539 | 55% | 65 | 65 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 19 | 47% | 1.68 | 0.89 | +0.79 | +0.05 | -0.68 |
| Bari | 19 | 37% | 1.37 | 0.74 | +0.63 | -0.11 | -1.05 |
| Carrarese | 19 | 37% | 1.53 | 0.79 | +0.74 | +0.47 | -0.74 |
| Catanzaro | 19 | 47% | 1.84 | 1.26 | +0.58 | +0.58 | 0.00 |
| Cesena | 19 | 32% | 1.26 | 1.16 | +0.11 | -0.05 | -0.53 |
| Empoli | 19 | 26% | 1.37 | 0.79 | +0.58 | +0.37 | -0.74 |
| Frosinone | 19 | 63% | 2.16 | 2.11 | +0.05 | +1.42 | +0.79 |
| Juve Stabia | 19 | 42% | 1.74 | 0.95 | +0.79 | +0.53 | -0.58 |
| Mantova | 19 | 47% | 1.58 | 0.84 | +0.74 | -0.05 | -0.58 |
| Modena | 19 | 47% | 1.63 | 1.26 | +0.37 | +0.58 | +0.11 |
| Monza | 19 | 74% | 2.42 | 1.58 | +0.84 | +1.16 | +0.37 |
| Padova | 19 | 32% | 1.32 | 1.11 | +0.21 | -0.05 | -0.47 |
| Palermo | 19 | 74% | 2.42 | 1.37 | +1.05 | +1.37 | +0.11 |
| Pescara | 19 | 26% | 1.16 | 0.68 | +0.47 | +0.11 | -0.89 |
| Reggiana | 19 | 32% | 1.32 | 0.63 | +0.68 | -0.11 | -0.95 |
| Sampdoria | 19 | 47% | 1.68 | 0.63 | +1.05 | +0.11 | -0.79 |
| Spezia | 19 | 26% | 1.11 | 0.74 | +0.37 | -0.16 | -0.68 |
| Sudtirol | 19 | 26% | 1.16 | 1.00 | +0.16 | -0.11 | -0.42 |
| Venezia | 19 | 89% | 2.68 | 1.63 | +1.05 | +1.68 | +0.74 |
| Virtus Entella | 19 | 47% | 1.79 | 0.42 | +1.37 | +0.47 | -1.26 |
| League total | 380 | 45% | 1.66 | 1.03 | +0.63 | +0.41 | -0.41 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 9 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avellino | 38 | 162 | 188 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 3.1 |
| Bari | 38 | 131 | 230 | 3.4 | 6.1 | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| Carrarese | 38 | 215 | 184 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 5.4 | 5.9 |
| Catanzaro | 38 | 159 | 172 | 4.2 | 4.5 | 4.7 | 3.7 |
| Cesena | 38 | 187 | 169 | 4.9 | 4.4 | 6.1 | 3.8 |
| Empoli | 38 | 183 | 196 | 4.8 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Frosinone | 38 | 233 | 156 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 6.9 | 5.4 |
| Juve Stabia | 38 | 180 | 164 | 4.7 | 4.3 | 6.0 | 3.5 |
| Mantova | 38 | 177 | 196 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| Modena | 38 | 201 | 155 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 6.3 |
| Monza | 38 | 216 | 137 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 5.0 |
| Padova | 38 | 153 | 220 | 4.0 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 3.6 |
| Palermo | 38 | 195 | 172 | 5.1 | 4.5 | 5.2 | 5.1 |
| Pescara | 38 | 195 | 204 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| Reggiana | 38 | 136 | 222 | 3.6 | 5.8 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Sampdoria | 38 | 190 | 160 | 5.0 | 4.2 | 6.1 | 3.9 |
| Spezia | 38 | 180 | 198 | 4.7 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 4.7 |
| Sudtirol | 38 | 164 | 147 | 4.3 | 3.9 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| Venezia | 38 | 174 | 173 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.7 |
| Virtus Entella | 38 | 195 | 183 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 5.8 | 4.4 |
| League total | 760 | 3626 | 3626 | 4.8 | 4.8 | — | — |