Serie A

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Juventus61.6
Inter60.6
Como55.0
Napoli50.3
Roma49.9

Biggest over-performers

Inter+16.5
Roma+14.2
Napoli+13.4
Milan+9.8
Como+8.7

Biggest under-performers

Verona-25.9
Pisa-22.0
Cremonese-13.2
Genoa-8.4
Juventus-6.3

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Juventus26.5
Inter32.3
Napoli35.8
Milan36.2
Como39.6

Biggest xG difference

Juventus+35.1
Inter+28.4
Como+15.4
Napoli+14.5
Milan+11.9

#	Team
1	Juventus	38	61	61.6	26.5	+35.1	69	75.3	-6.3
2	Inter	38	89	60.6	32.3	+28.4	87	70.5	+16.5
3	Como	38	65	55.0	39.6	+15.4	71	62.3	+8.7
4	Napoli	38	58	50.3	35.8	+14.5	76	62.6	+13.4
5	Milan	38	53	48.2	36.2	+11.9	70	60.2	+9.8
6	Roma	38	59	49.9	41.4	+8.5	73	58.8	+14.2
7	Lazio	38	41	48.2	45.3	+2.8	54	52.3	+1.7
8	Atalanta	38	51	48.4	46.6	+1.9	59	53.1	+5.9
9	Udinese	38	45	43.6	45.9	-2.3	50	51.2	-1.2
10	Bologna	38	49	42.1	44.8	-2.7	56	49.9	+6.1
11	Genoa	38	41	45.5	49.0	-3.6	41	49.4	-8.4
12	Torino	38	44	45.9	51.8	-5.9	45	48.7	-3.7
13	Verona	38	25	43.1	49.4	-6.3	21	46.9	-25.9
14	Cremonese	38	32	40.7	48.6	-7.9	34	47.2	-13.2
15	Fiorentina	38	41	38.3	48.2	-9.9	42	45.8	-3.8
16	Sassuolo	38	46	44.9	57.4	-12.5	49	46.1	+2.9
17	Cagliari	38	40	41.1	54.6	-13.5	43	42.8	+0.2
18	Pisa	38	26	33.5	50.5	-17.0	18	40.0	-22.0
19	Parma	38	28	31.6	48.8	-17.2	45	40.2	+4.8
20	Lecce	38	28	30.7	50.4	-19.7	38	38.5	-0.5
1	Juventus	19	35	34.2	11.3	+22.9	37	41.1	-4.1
2	Inter	19	50	34.1	17.1	+17.0	45	37.0	+8.0
3	Como	19	35	33.9	17.0	+16.8	36	37.4	-1.4
4	Roma	19	33	28.1	16.1	+11.9	42	34.4	+7.6
5	Napoli	19	33	29.1	17.7	+11.4	43	34.1	+8.9
6	Atalanta	19	25	26.1	16.1	+10.0	33	31.7	+1.3
7	Milan	19	25	27.4	18.0	+9.4	32	32.7	-0.7
8	Udinese	19	18	22.7	18.5	+4.3	23	29.1	-6.1
9	Genoa	19	22	25.0	20.9	+4.1	22	28.4	-6.4
10	Lazio	19	27	27.0	23.8	+3.2	30	27.2	+2.8
11	Fiorentina	19	21	22.4	19.6	+2.8	21	27.7	-6.7
12	Cremonese	19	18	23.5	21.2	+2.3	16	27.5	-11.5
13	Bologna	19	19	21.0	18.8	+2.2	22	27.2	-5.2
14	Torino	19	27	25.7	24.3	+1.4	28	26.8	+1.2
15	Pisa	19	9	19.9	20.6	-0.7	10	24.3	-14.3
16	Verona	19	12	23.3	24.2	-1.0	8	24.5	-16.5
17	Cagliari	19	22	21.6	22.9	-1.3	25	24.2	+0.8
18	Sassuolo	19	25	23.4	25.5	-2.1	29	25.8	+3.2
19	Lecce	19	13	17.7	22.1	-4.4	20	23.0	-3.0
20	Parma	19	16	17.1	24.6	-7.5	21	21.1	-0.1
1	Juventus	19	26	27.4	15.3	+12.2	32	34.2	-2.2
2	Inter	19	39	26.5	15.2	+11.4	42	33.5	+8.5
3	Napoli	19	25	21.3	18.2	+3.1	33	28.5	+4.5
4	Milan	19	28	20.8	18.2	+2.6	38	27.5	+10.5
5	Lazio	19	14	21.1	21.5	-0.4	24	25.1	-1.1
6	Como	19	30	21.1	22.6	-1.5	35	24.9	+10.1
7	Roma	19	26	21.8	25.3	-3.4	31	24.4	+6.6
8	Bologna	19	30	21.1	26.0	-4.9	34	22.6	+11.4
9	Verona	19	13	19.8	25.2	-5.3	13	22.4	-9.4
10	Udinese	19	27	20.8	27.4	-6.6	27	22.1	+4.9
11	Torino	19	17	20.2	27.5	-7.3	17	21.9	-4.9
12	Genoa	19	19	20.5	28.2	-7.7	19	21.0	-2.0
13	Atalanta	19	26	22.4	30.5	-8.1	26	21.4	+4.6
14	Parma	19	12	14.6	24.2	-9.7	24	19.2	+4.8
15	Cremonese	19	14	17.2	27.4	-10.2	18	19.7	-1.7
16	Sassuolo	19	21	21.6	31.9	-10.3	20	20.3	-0.3
17	Cagliari	19	18	19.5	31.8	-12.2	18	18.7	-0.7
18	Fiorentina	19	20	15.9	28.6	-12.7	21	18.1	+2.9
19	Lecce	19	15	13.0	28.3	-15.3	18	15.5	+2.5
20	Pisa	19	17	13.6	29.9	-16.3	8	15.7	-7.7

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
Atalanta	38	24	27	18	18	53%	5	1
Bologna	38	21	28	17	29	57%	0	3
Cagliari	38	16	24	22	31	60%	3	2
Como	38	27	38	12	17	58%	2	4
Cremonese	38	12	20	28	29	63%	1	3
Fiorentina	38	17	24	20	30	59%	4	3
Genoa	38	16	25	23	28	61%	2	3
Inter	38	37	52	16	19	58%	2	3
Juventus	38	24	37	15	19	61%	5	3
Lazio	38	16	25	19	21	61%	3	2
Lecce	38	16	12	18	32	43%	1	3
Milan	38	20	33	17	18	62%	3	2
Napoli	38	31	27	15	21	47%	4	1
Parma	38	10	18	17	29	64%	2	2
Pisa	38	12	14	30	41	54%	2	2
Roma	38	27	32	10	21	54%	0	2
Sassuolo	38	19	27	24	26	59%	3	0
Torino	38	17	27	31	32	61%	4	2
Udinese	38	19	26	20	28	58%	2	4
Verona	38	15	10	24	37	40%	0	3
League total	760	396	526	396	526	57%	48	48

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
Atalanta	19	47%	1.74	1.37	+0.37	+0.53	+0.26
Bologna	19	32%	1.16	1.79	-0.63	-0.21	+0.37
Cagliari	19	37%	1.32	0.95	+0.37	-0.05	-0.63
Como	19	53%	1.89	1.84	+0.05	+1.05	+0.84
Cremonese	19	16%	0.84	0.95	-0.11	-0.58	-0.74
Fiorentina	19	21%	1.11	1.11	0.00	0.00	-0.47
Genoa	19	32%	1.16	1.00	+0.16	-0.21	-0.32
Inter	19	74%	2.37	2.21	+0.16	+1.79	+1.05
Juventus	19	53%	1.95	1.68	+0.26	+1.00	+0.42
Lazio	19	42%	1.58	1.26	+0.32	+0.11	-0.05
Lecce	19	26%	1.05	0.95	+0.11	-0.58	-0.58
Milan	19	47%	1.68	2.00	-0.32	+0.21	+0.74
Napoli	19	68%	2.26	1.74	+0.53	+0.79	+0.37
Parma	19	26%	1.11	1.26	-0.16	-0.47	-0.47
Pisa	19	11%	0.53	0.42	+0.11	-0.89	-1.47
Roma	19	68%	2.21	1.63	+0.58	+1.21	+0.26
Sassuolo	19	47%	1.53	1.05	+0.47	-0.05	-0.16
Torino	19	42%	1.47	0.89	+0.58	-0.11	-0.89
Udinese	19	32%	1.21	1.42	-0.21	-0.16	0.00
Verona	19	5%	0.42	0.68	-0.26	-0.84	-1.05
League total	380	39%	1.43	1.31	+0.12	+0.13	-0.13

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 21 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
Atalanta	38	215	158	5.7	4.2	6.8	4.5
Bologna	38	170	161	4.5	4.2	5.2	3.7
Cagliari	38	147	196	3.9	5.2	4.3	3.4
Como	38	170	122	4.5	3.2	5.0	3.9
Cremonese	38	133	227	3.5	6.0	3.6	3.4
Fiorentina	38	169	174	4.4	4.6	5.5	3.4
Genoa	38	140	185	3.7	4.9	3.6	3.7
Inter	38	241	110	6.3	2.9	7.4	5.3
Juventus	38	206	143	5.4	3.8	6.5	4.4
Lazio	38	142	159	3.7	4.2	4.6	2.9
Lecce	38	163	203	4.3	5.3	4.2	4.4
Milan	38	162	163	4.3	4.3	4.9	3.6
Napoli	38	208	105	5.5	2.8	6.3	4.7
Parma	38	146	189	3.8	5.0	4.2	3.5
Pisa	38	135	183	3.6	4.8	3.8	3.3
Roma	38	196	132	5.2	3.5	5.7	4.6
Sassuolo	38	143	189	3.8	5.0	3.8	3.7
Torino	38	146	178	3.8	4.7	4.3	3.4
Udinese	38	170	182	4.5	4.8	4.7	4.2
Verona	38	150	193	3.9	5.1	4.8	3.1
League total	760	3352	3352	4.4	4.4	—	—