Ligue 1
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
Top xG
- Paris SG59.0
- Marseille54.5
- Strasbourg48.7
- Lens47.6
- Lyon45.0
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 34 | 74 | 59.0 | 29.2 | +29.8 | 76 | 66.1 | +9.9 |
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 63 | 54.5 | 40.2 | +14.4 | 59 | 53.7 | +5.3 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 52 | 44.0 | 32.9 | +11.1 | 61 | 52.3 | +8.7 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 53 | 45.0 | 36.0 | +9.0 | 60 | 51.3 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Lens | 34 | 66 | 47.6 | 39.1 | +8.5 | 70 | 53.0 | +17.0 |
| 6 | Paris FC | 34 | 47 | 39.9 | 34.0 | +5.9 | 44 | 49.7 | -5.7 |
| 7 | Rennes | 34 | 59 | 44.3 | 40.7 | +3.7 | 59 | 49.2 | +9.8 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 34 | 47 | 41.8 | 38.8 | +3.0 | 45 | 49.3 | -4.3 |
| 9 | Lorient | 34 | 48 | 42.1 | 40.1 | +2.0 | 45 | 47.8 | -2.8 |
| 10 | Monaco | 34 | 60 | 43.7 | 44.7 | -1.0 | 54 | 47.3 | +6.7 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 34 | 58 | 48.7 | 50.4 | -1.6 | 53 | 45.3 | +7.7 |
| 12 | Le Havre | 34 | 32 | 37.7 | 39.5 | -1.8 | 35 | 45.6 | -10.6 |
| 13 | Brest | 34 | 43 | 37.0 | 44.0 | -7.0 | 39 | 42.6 | -3.6 |
| 14 | Nice | 34 | 37 | 38.8 | 47.0 | -8.3 | 32 | 41.9 | -9.9 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 34 | 35.5 | 45.6 | -10.1 | 34 | 39.0 | -5.0 |
| 16 | Nantes | 34 | 29 | 33.1 | 45.7 | -12.6 | 24 | 37.3 | -13.3 |
| 17 | Angers | 34 | 29 | 37.3 | 54.2 | -16.9 | 36 | 36.7 | -0.7 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 32 | 32.2 | 60.2 | -28.0 | 17 | 31.4 | -14.4 |
| 1 | Paris SG | 17 | 41 | 30.7 | 13.6 | +17.1 | 41 | 34.4 | +6.6 |
| 2 | Lens | 17 | 35 | 28.4 | 12.7 | +15.7 | 42 | 33.9 | +8.1 |
| 3 | Marseille | 17 | 41 | 30.9 | 20.3 | +10.6 | 37 | 29.5 | +7.5 |
| 4 | Lille | 17 | 24 | 22.7 | 14.1 | +8.7 | 29 | 28.2 | +0.8 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 17 | 30 | 27.8 | 19.6 | +8.2 | 30 | 27.8 | +2.2 |
| 6 | Rennes | 17 | 30 | 24.8 | 16.8 | +8.0 | 34 | 28.4 | +5.6 |
| 7 | Paris FC | 17 | 28 | 22.6 | 14.7 | +7.9 | 25 | 27.9 | -2.9 |
| 8 | Lyon | 17 | 30 | 23.3 | 15.5 | +7.8 | 37 | 27.9 | +9.1 |
| 9 | Lorient | 17 | 31 | 25.2 | 18.5 | +6.7 | 30 | 27.8 | +2.2 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 17 | 25 | 23.8 | 18.1 | +5.7 | 24 | 27.7 | -3.7 |
| 11 | Brest | 17 | 28 | 23.4 | 18.0 | +5.4 | 26 | 27.6 | -1.6 |
| 12 | Monaco | 17 | 33 | 23.8 | 20.3 | +3.5 | 32 | 26.6 | +5.4 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 17 | 20 | 20.5 | 17.5 | +3.0 | 23 | 24.9 | -1.9 |
| 14 | Nice | 17 | 19 | 21.7 | 22.1 | -0.3 | 20 | 23.6 | -3.6 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 17 | 18 | 19.3 | 20.3 | -0.9 | 22 | 21.6 | +0.4 |
| 16 | Nantes | 17 | 18 | 18.2 | 21.0 | -2.8 | 13 | 20.7 | -7.7 |
| 17 | Angers | 17 | 18 | 22.7 | 26.6 | -3.9 | 23 | 21.2 | +1.8 |
| 18 | Metz | 17 | 15 | 19.3 | 23.8 | -4.4 | 10 | 20.8 | -10.8 |
| 1 | Paris SG | 17 | 33 | 28.3 | 15.6 | +12.7 | 35 | 31.7 | +3.3 |
| 2 | Marseille | 17 | 22 | 23.7 | 19.9 | +3.8 | 22 | 24.2 | -2.2 |
| 3 | Lille | 17 | 28 | 21.3 | 18.8 | +2.4 | 32 | 24.1 | +7.9 |
| 4 | Lyon | 17 | 23 | 21.7 | 20.5 | +1.2 | 23 | 23.4 | -0.4 |
| 5 | Paris FC | 17 | 19 | 17.3 | 19.3 | -2.0 | 19 | 21.9 | -2.9 |
| 6 | Toulouse | 17 | 22 | 18.0 | 20.7 | -2.8 | 21 | 21.7 | -0.7 |
| 7 | Rennes | 17 | 29 | 19.5 | 23.8 | -4.3 | 25 | 20.8 | +4.2 |
| 8 | Monaco | 17 | 27 | 19.9 | 24.4 | -4.5 | 22 | 20.7 | +1.3 |
| 9 | Lorient | 17 | 17 | 16.9 | 21.6 | -4.7 | 15 | 20.0 | -5.0 |
| 10 | Le Havre | 17 | 12 | 17.2 | 22.0 | -4.8 | 12 | 20.8 | -8.8 |
| 11 | Lens | 17 | 31 | 19.2 | 26.4 | -7.2 | 28 | 19.1 | +8.9 |
| 12 | Nice | 17 | 18 | 17.0 | 25.0 | -7.9 | 12 | 18.3 | -6.3 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 17 | 16 | 16.1 | 25.4 | -9.2 | 12 | 17.4 | -5.4 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 17 | 28 | 21.0 | 30.8 | -9.8 | 23 | 17.5 | +5.5 |
| 15 | Nantes | 17 | 11 | 14.9 | 24.7 | -9.8 | 11 | 16.6 | -5.6 |
| 16 | Brest | 17 | 15 | 13.6 | 26.1 | -12.4 | 13 | 15.0 | -2.0 |
| 17 | Angers | 17 | 11 | 14.6 | 27.6 | -13.0 | 13 | 15.5 | -2.5 |
| 18 | Metz | 17 | 17 | 12.9 | 36.5 | -23.5 | 7 | 10.6 | -3.6 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 34 | 9 | 20 | 24 | 24 | 69% | 3 | 1 |
| Auxerre | 34 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 24 | 50% | 0 | 1 |
| Brest | 34 | 22 | 21 | 27 | 28 | 49% | 3 | 4 |
| Le Havre | 34 | 14 | 18 | 23 | 21 | 56% | 3 | 1 |
| Lens | 34 | 26 | 40 | 20 | 15 | 61% | 4 | 1 |
| Lille | 34 | 15 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 71% | 1 | 1 |
| Lorient | 34 | 20 | 28 | 17 | 34 | 58% | 3 | 4 |
| Lyon | 34 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 25 | 49% | 0 | 5 |
| Marseille | 34 | 26 | 37 | 14 | 31 | 59% | 3 | 3 |
| Metz | 34 | 14 | 18 | 34 | 42 | 56% | 1 | 2 |
| Monaco | 34 | 22 | 38 | 21 | 33 | 63% | 4 | 2 |
| Nantes | 34 | 16 | 13 | 22 | 30 | 45% | 2 | 3 |
| Nice | 34 | 19 | 18 | 29 | 31 | 49% | 3 | 4 |
| Paris FC | 34 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 29 | 55% | 3 | 1 |
| Paris SG | 34 | 33 | 41 | 13 | 16 | 55% | 1 | 0 |
| Rennes | 34 | 27 | 32 | 19 | 31 | 54% | 1 | 3 |
| Strasbourg | 34 | 25 | 33 | 18 | 29 | 57% | 3 | 5 |
| Toulouse | 34 | 20 | 27 | 22 | 24 | 57% | 5 | 2 |
| League total | 612 | 373 | 490 | 373 | 490 | 57% | 43 | 43 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 17 | 35% | 1.35 | 0.76 | +0.59 | -0.12 | -1.00 |
| Auxerre | 17 | 35% | 1.29 | 0.71 | +0.59 | +0.06 | -0.65 |
| Brest | 17 | 41% | 1.53 | 0.76 | +0.76 | +0.29 | -1.00 |
| Le Havre | 17 | 29% | 1.35 | 0.71 | +0.65 | +0.12 | -0.82 |
| Lens | 17 | 82% | 2.47 | 1.65 | +0.82 | +1.29 | +0.53 |
| Lille | 17 | 47% | 1.71 | 1.88 | -0.18 | +0.41 | +0.47 |
| Lorient | 17 | 47% | 1.76 | 0.88 | +0.88 | +0.35 | -0.53 |
| Lyon | 17 | 71% | 2.18 | 1.35 | +0.82 | +0.71 | +0.06 |
| Marseille | 17 | 65% | 2.18 | 1.29 | +0.88 | +1.24 | -0.18 |
| Metz | 17 | 12% | 0.59 | 0.41 | +0.18 | -1.00 | -1.59 |
| Monaco | 17 | 59% | 1.88 | 1.29 | +0.59 | +0.59 | -0.24 |
| Nantes | 17 | 18% | 0.76 | 0.65 | +0.12 | -0.53 | -0.82 |
| Nice | 17 | 24% | 1.18 | 0.71 | +0.47 | -0.47 | -0.88 |
| Paris FC | 17 | 41% | 1.47 | 1.12 | +0.35 | +0.06 | -0.24 |
| Paris SG | 17 | 76% | 2.41 | 2.06 | +0.35 | +1.71 | +0.94 |
| Rennes | 17 | 59% | 2.00 | 1.47 | +0.53 | +0.76 | -0.24 |
| Strasbourg | 17 | 53% | 1.76 | 1.35 | +0.41 | +0.65 | 0.00 |
| Toulouse | 17 | 35% | 1.41 | 1.24 | +0.18 | +0.06 | 0.00 |
| League total | 306 | 46% | 1.63 | 1.13 | +0.50 | +0.34 | -0.34 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 20 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 34 | 121 | 177 | 3.6 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 3.0 |
| Auxerre | 34 | 162 | 161 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 |
| Brest | 34 | 131 | 198 | 3.9 | 5.8 | 4.6 | 3.1 |
| Le Havre | 34 | 145 | 164 | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Lens | 34 | 212 | 141 | 6.2 | 4.1 | 6.8 | 5.6 |
| Lille | 34 | 194 | 129 | 5.7 | 3.8 | 6.4 | 5.1 |
| Lorient | 34 | 120 | 183 | 3.5 | 5.4 | 3.2 | 3.8 |
| Lyon | 34 | 200 | 170 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 5.2 |
| Marseille | 34 | 176 | 123 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 4.8 |
| Metz | 34 | 144 | 179 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Monaco | 34 | 172 | 147 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Nantes | 34 | 124 | 190 | 3.6 | 5.6 | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| Nice | 34 | 173 | 194 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.6 |
| Paris FC | 34 | 149 | 189 | 4.4 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 3.2 |
| Paris SG | 34 | 216 | 107 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 7.5 | 5.2 |
| Rennes | 34 | 204 | 156 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 5.5 |
| Strasbourg | 34 | 144 | 157 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.9 | 3.5 |
| Toulouse | 34 | 149 | 171 | 4.4 | 5.0 | 5.1 | 3.7 |
| League total | 612 | 2936 | 2936 | 4.8 | 4.8 | — | — |