League Two

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Biggest over-performers

Biggest under-performers

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Biggest xG difference

#	Team
1	Milton Keynes Dons	46	86	58.8	45.0	+13.7	86	71.9	+14.1
2	Grimsby	46	74	57.0	43.4	+13.6	78	72.0	+6.0
3	Salford	46	61	55.9	44.3	+11.6	81	70.6	+10.4
4	Fleetwood Town	46	57	55.1	43.6	+11.5	61	70.4	-9.4
5	Notts County	46	74	56.4	46.1	+10.4	80	69.4	+10.6
6	Cambridge	46	66	47.5	38.4	+9.2	82	68.4	+13.6
7	Swindon	46	70	56.0	49.3	+6.7	75	67.3	+7.7
8	Oldham	46	60	56.6	50.0	+6.6	68	67.7	+0.3
9	Colchester	46	62	53.8	50.6	+3.2	66	64.5	+1.5
10	Walsall	46	56	50.7	47.6	+3.1	65	64.0	+1.0
11	Barnet	46	70	53.9	51.1	+2.8	76	65.1	+10.9
12	Chesterfield	46	71	50.4	49.7	+0.7	79	63.4	+15.6
13	Crawley Town	46	44	52.9	53.4	-0.5	40	62.5	-22.5
14	Accrington	46	47	51.6	52.4	-0.8	53	61.7	-8.7
15	Bromley	46	71	55.7	58.6	-3.0	87	60.8	+26.2
16	Bristol Rvs	46	56	45.1	49.5	-4.4	62	59.9	+2.1
17	Gillingham	46	53	50.6	55.5	-4.8	53	59.3	-6.3
18	Harrogate	46	39	45.7	51.1	-5.5	39	58.7	-19.7
19	Tranmere	46	54	49.0	55.4	-6.3	41	57.9	-16.9
20	Shrewsbury	46	42	44.4	52.8	-8.4	49	56.5	-7.5
21	Newport County	46	48	47.7	57.2	-9.5	43	55.7	-12.7
22	Crewe	46	64	48.5	58.2	-9.7	67	56.0	+11.0
23	Cheltenham	46	53	42.1	60.1	-17.9	52	50.6	+1.4
24	Barrow	46	45	43.3	65.3	-22.1	36	47.2	-11.2
1	Grimsby	23	41	33.1	20.3	+12.9	41	40.3	+0.7
2	Milton Keynes Dons	23	41	32.0	19.9	+12.1	45	39.6	+5.4
3	Notts County	23	45	33.6	22.0	+11.7	43	39.5	+3.5
4	Salford	23	34	31.1	19.5	+11.6	46	39.3	+6.7
5	Cambridge	23	43	29.2	18.9	+10.3	51	38.9	+12.1
6	Colchester	23	35	30.9	21.8	+9.1	36	37.2	-1.2
7	Fleetwood Town	23	34	30.2	21.2	+9.0	33	37.7	-4.7
8	Chesterfield	23	38	27.7	19.6	+8.0	41	37.1	+3.9
9	Oldham	23	30	29.1	22.1	+6.9	38	36.1	+1.9
10	Swindon	23	38	29.0	22.6	+6.4	39	35.5	+3.5
11	Barnet	23	38	29.4	23.2	+6.2	36	35.6	+0.4
12	Gillingham	23	29	31.4	25.8	+5.6	31	35.5	-4.5
13	Crawley Town	23	26	29.5	24.3	+5.2	25	35.0	-10.0
14	Accrington	23	27	27.7	22.8	+4.9	32	34.6	-2.6
15	Bromley	23	41	31.2	26.9	+4.3	51	34.1	+16.9
16	Shrewsbury	23	22	24.6	20.8	+3.9	33	33.9	-0.9
17	Walsall	23	23	24.8	22.5	+2.3	29	32.7	-3.7
18	Newport County	23	24	27.4	25.6	+1.8	22	32.1	-10.1
19	Bristol Rvs	23	31	21.3	20.9	+0.4	37	31.8	+5.2
20	Tranmere	23	22	25.8	25.6	+0.2	18	31.0	-13.0
21	Harrogate	23	16	23.9	24.1	-0.2	15	31.0	-16.0
22	Crewe	23	34	26.4	28.4	-1.9	41	30.2	+10.8
23	Barrow	23	18	21.0	28.8	-7.8	19	25.7	-6.7
24	Cheltenham	23	28	21.2	29.7	-8.5	31	25.2	+5.8
1	Fleetwood Town	23	23	24.9	22.5	+2.4	28	32.7	-4.7
2	Milton Keynes Dons	23	45	26.8	25.2	+1.6	41	32.2	+8.8
3	Grimsby	23	33	23.9	23.1	+0.8	37	31.7	+5.3
4	Walsall	23	33	25.9	25.1	+0.8	36	31.3	+4.7
5	Swindon	23	32	27.0	26.7	+0.2	36	31.8	+4.2
6	Salford	23	27	24.8	24.8	0.0	35	31.3	+3.7
7	Oldham	23	30	27.5	27.9	-0.4	30	31.7	-1.7
8	Cambridge	23	23	18.3	19.5	-1.2	31	29.5	+1.5
9	Notts County	23	29	22.8	24.1	-1.3	37	29.9	+7.1
10	Barnet	23	32	24.5	27.9	-3.4	40	29.5	+10.5
11	Bristol Rvs	23	25	23.7	28.5	-4.8	25	28.2	-3.2
12	Harrogate	23	23	21.7	27.0	-5.3	24	27.6	-3.6
13	Crawley Town	23	18	23.4	29.1	-5.7	15	27.5	-12.5
14	Accrington	23	20	23.9	29.7	-5.7	21	27.1	-6.1
15	Colchester	23	27	22.9	28.8	-5.9	30	27.3	+2.7
16	Tranmere	23	32	23.3	29.8	-6.5	23	26.9	-3.9
17	Bromley	23	30	24.5	31.8	-7.2	36	26.7	+9.3
18	Chesterfield	23	33	22.7	30.1	-7.4	38	26.4	+11.6
19	Crewe	23	30	22.0	29.8	-7.8	26	25.9	+0.1
20	Cheltenham	23	25	20.9	30.3	-9.4	21	25.3	-4.3
21	Gillingham	23	24	19.2	29.6	-10.4	22	23.8	-1.8
22	Newport County	23	24	20.3	31.6	-11.3	21	23.6	-2.6
23	Shrewsbury	23	20	19.8	32.1	-12.3	16	22.6	-6.6
24	Barrow	23	27	22.3	36.6	-14.2	17	21.5	-4.5

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
Accrington	46	22	25	26	32	53%	2	5
Barnet	46	34	36	27	26	51%	2	5
Barrow	46	21	24	32	46	53%	3	3
Bristol Rvs	46	23	33	26	39	59%	4	4
Bromley	46	31	40	23	23	56%	4	6
Cambridge	46	28	38	15	18	58%	3	6
Cheltenham	46	15	38	36	43	72%	4	1
Chesterfield	46	33	38	29	27	54%	5	7
Colchester	46	31	31	23	26	50%	3	2
Crawley Town	46	15	29	24	44	66%	3	4
Crewe	46	32	32	29	29	50%	3	3
Fleetwood Town	46	23	34	25	33	60%	6	3
Gillingham	46	18	35	32	40	66%	4	5
Grimsby	46	39	35	24	26	47%	3	3
Harrogate	46	20	19	28	40	49%	3	2
Milton Keynes Dons	46	52	34	17	28	40%	4	6
Newport County	46	15	33	34	43	69%	5	1
Notts County	46	32	42	24	28	57%	4	3
Oldham	46	24	36	24	20	60%	5	1
Salford	46	27	34	21	30	56%	0	3
Shrewsbury	46	17	25	29	40	60%	3	1
Swindon	46	32	38	28	31	54%	3	3
Tranmere	46	20	34	31	48	63%	6	6
Walsall	46	25	31	22	34	55%	5	4
League total	1104	629	794	629	794	56%	87	87

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
Accrington	23	39%	1.39	0.91	+0.48	0.00	-0.48
Barnet	23	43%	1.57	1.74	-0.17	+0.39	+0.35
Barrow	23	22%	0.83	0.74	+0.09	-0.70	-0.74
Bristol Rvs	23	52%	1.61	1.09	+0.52	+0.13	-0.52
Bromley	23	61%	2.22	1.57	+0.65	+0.87	+0.22
Cambridge	23	65%	2.22	1.35	+0.87	+1.22	+0.22
Cheltenham	23	39%	1.35	0.91	+0.43	-0.22	-0.91
Chesterfield	23	48%	1.78	1.65	+0.13	+0.61	+0.04
Colchester	23	43%	1.57	1.30	+0.26	+0.52	+0.04
Crawley Town	23	22%	1.09	0.65	+0.43	-0.09	-0.96
Crewe	23	52%	1.78	1.13	+0.65	+0.26	0.00
Fleetwood Town	23	35%	1.43	1.22	+0.22	0.00	-0.04
Gillingham	23	35%	1.35	0.96	+0.39	-0.30	-0.52
Grimsby	23	52%	1.78	1.61	+0.17	+0.83	+0.22
Harrogate	23	17%	0.65	1.04	-0.39	-0.96	-0.30
Milton Keynes Dons	23	57%	1.96	1.78	+0.17	+0.91	+0.87
Newport County	23	26%	0.96	0.91	+0.04	-0.57	-0.70
Notts County	23	57%	1.87	1.61	+0.26	+0.87	+0.09
Oldham	23	43%	1.65	1.30	+0.35	+0.52	+0.17
Salford	23	61%	2.00	1.52	+0.48	+0.43	0.00
Shrewsbury	23	39%	1.43	0.70	+0.74	-0.22	-0.96
Swindon	23	48%	1.70	1.57	+0.13	+0.48	0.00
Tranmere	23	17%	0.78	1.00	-0.22	-0.65	-0.43
Walsall	23	35%	1.26	1.57	-0.30	-0.30	+0.30
League total	552	42%	1.51	1.24	+0.27	+0.17	-0.17

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 26 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
Accrington	46	192	246	4.2	5.3	4.2	4.1
Barnet	46	316	151	6.9	3.3	7.0	6.7
Barrow	46	194	261	4.2	5.7	4.5	3.9
Bristol Rvs	46	213	220	4.6	4.8	5.4	3.8
Bromley	46	244	228	5.3	5.0	5.9	4.7
Cambridge	46	268	155	5.8	3.4	6.1	5.6
Cheltenham	46	193	250	4.2	5.4	5.0	3.4
Chesterfield	46	251	223	5.5	4.8	6.3	4.6
Colchester	46	212	205	4.6	4.5	5.0	4.3
Crawley Town	46	253	300	5.5	6.5	5.6	5.4
Crewe	46	227	203	4.9	4.4	4.8	5.0
Fleetwood Town	46	221	240	4.8	5.2	4.9	4.7
Gillingham	46	233	204	5.1	4.4	5.4	4.7
Grimsby	46	280	204	6.1	4.4	7.4	4.8
Harrogate	46	202	274	4.4	6.0	4.9	3.9
Milton Keynes Dons	46	206	198	4.5	4.3	4.6	4.4
Newport County	46	181	254	3.9	5.5	4.6	3.3
Notts County	46	223	206	4.8	4.5	5.0	4.7
Oldham	46	241	225	5.2	4.9	5.7	4.8
Salford	46	260	195	5.7	4.2	6.7	4.7
Shrewsbury	46	182	197	4.0	4.3	4.9	3.0
Swindon	46	245	272	5.3	5.9	5.9	4.7
Tranmere	46	191	279	4.2	6.1	4.4	3.9
Walsall	46	211	249	4.6	5.4	4.7	4.4
League total	1104	5439	5439	4.9	4.9	—	—