Championship

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Biggest over-performers

Coventry+20.1
Millwall+17.0
Ipswich+14.1
Hull+12.3
Wrexham+11.2

Biggest under-performers

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Biggest xG difference

#	Team
1	Coventry	46	97	64.1	47.9	+16.2	95	74.9	+20.1
2	Middlesbrough	46	72	56.1	42.8	+13.3	80	72.6	+7.4
3	Southampton	46	82	61.5	49.1	+12.4	80	70.9	+9.1
4	Ipswich	46	80	59.6	49.8	+9.8	84	69.9	+14.1
5	Millwall	46	64	51.5	46.8	+4.7	83	66.0	+17.0
6	West Brom	46	48	50.2	46.3	+3.9	53	65.1	-12.1
7	Norwich	46	63	54.2	50.5	+3.7	65	65.5	-0.5
8	Leicester	46	58	49.5	47.5	+2.0	52	63.8	-11.8
9	Birmingham	46	57	49.0	47.1	+1.9	64	63.8	+0.2
10	Sheffield United	46	66	50.3	49.7	+0.6	60	63.0	-3.0
11	Watford	46	53	54.6	54.0	+0.5	57	63.4	-6.4
12	QPR	46	61	51.5	51.9	-0.4	58	61.8	-3.8
13	Preston	46	55	48.7	49.2	-0.5	60	62.5	-2.5
14	Oxford	46	45	44.7	45.4	-0.7	47	60.2	-13.2
15	Charlton	46	44	49.0	51.1	-2.1	53	61.4	-8.4
16	Hull	46	70	52.9	55.6	-2.7	73	60.7	+12.3
17	Derby	46	67	48.1	51.5	-3.4	69	60.8	+8.2
18	Bristol City	46	59	50.5	54.4	-3.8	62	59.6	+2.4
19	Swansea	46	57	49.6	53.4	-3.8	64	60.6	+3.4
20	Stoke	46	51	46.0	49.9	-3.9	55	59.4	-4.4
21	Wrexham	46	69	49.2	53.6	-4.4	71	59.8	+11.2
22	Portsmouth	46	49	45.9	50.6	-4.6	55	58.8	-3.8
23	Blackburn	46	42	41.4	48.1	-6.7	52	57.1	-5.1
24	Sheffield Weds	46	29	35.4	67.5	-32.1	18	39.8	-21.8
1	Birmingham	23	39	32.9	17.8	+15.1	44	42.6	+1.4
2	Coventry	23	51	34.3	20.2	+14.1	55	41.8	+13.2
3	Ipswich	23	43	33.8	20.0	+13.8	50	41.1	+8.9
4	Middlesbrough	23	34	30.0	18.1	+11.9	42	40.4	+1.6
5	Southampton	23	38	31.7	20.9	+10.8	44	38.4	+5.6
6	Watford	23	30	32.7	23.7	+9.0	37	37.3	-0.3
7	Oxford	23	24	27.7	19.4	+8.3	29	36.7	-7.7
8	West Brom	23	28	28.7	21.2	+7.6	34	36.6	-2.6
9	QPR	23	40	31.5	25.3	+6.2	33	35.3	-2.3
10	Millwall	23	33	28.5	22.6	+5.9	42	35.7	+6.3
11	Stoke	23	34	29.1	23.5	+5.6	33	35.2	-2.2
12	Wrexham	23	41	30.6	25.2	+5.4	37	35.3	+1.7
13	Norwich	23	27	28.5	23.2	+5.3	30	35.2	-5.2
14	Sheffield United	23	38	28.3	23.2	+5.1	31	34.8	-3.8
15	Portsmouth	23	25	26.7	21.8	+4.9	30	34.6	-4.6
16	Charlton	23	23	28.1	23.4	+4.6	31	35.1	-4.1
17	Swansea	23	34	25.7	21.5	+4.3	39	34.6	+4.4
18	Derby	23	31	25.2	21.1	+4.2	36	34.6	+1.4
19	Leicester	23	31	24.1	20.0	+4.0	28	33.9	-5.9
20	Preston	23	28	23.7	21.0	+2.7	31	33.0	-2.0
21	Hull	23	35	27.8	25.9	+1.9	38	32.6	+5.4
22	Blackburn	23	19	21.7	21.9	-0.2	21	30.2	-9.2
23	Bristol City	23	33	25.8	26.8	-1.0	31	30.2	+0.8
24	Sheffield Weds	23	14	18.7	30.4	-11.7	10	22.4	-12.4
1	Coventry	23	46	29.8	27.7	+2.1	40	33.1	+6.9
2	Southampton	23	44	29.8	28.2	+1.6	36	32.6	+3.4
3	Middlesbrough	23	38	26.1	24.7	+1.5	38	32.2	+5.8
4	Millwall	23	31	23.0	24.2	-1.2	41	30.4	+10.6
5	Norwich	23	36	25.7	27.3	-1.6	35	30.3	+4.7
6	Leicester	23	27	25.5	27.5	-2.0	24	29.9	-5.9
7	Bristol City	23	26	24.8	27.6	-2.8	31	29.4	+1.6
8	Preston	23	27	25.0	28.2	-3.2	29	29.4	-0.4
9	West Brom	23	20	21.5	25.1	-3.6	19	28.5	-9.5
10	Ipswich	23	37	25.8	29.8	-4.0	34	28.8	+5.2
11	Sheffield United	23	28	22.0	26.4	-4.4	29	28.2	+0.8
12	Hull	23	35	25.2	29.7	-4.6	35	28.1	+6.9
13	Blackburn	23	23	19.7	26.2	-6.5	31	26.9	+4.1
14	QPR	23	21	20.0	26.7	-6.7	25	26.5	-1.5
15	Charlton	23	21	20.9	27.7	-6.8	22	26.3	-4.3
16	Derby	23	36	22.8	30.5	-7.6	33	26.2	+6.8
17	Swansea	23	23	23.9	31.9	-8.0	25	26.0	-1.0
18	Watford	23	23	21.8	30.3	-8.5	20	26.0	-6.0
19	Oxford	23	21	17.0	26.0	-9.0	18	23.5	-5.5
20	Stoke	23	17	16.9	26.5	-9.5	22	24.2	-2.2
21	Portsmouth	23	24	19.2	28.7	-9.5	25	24.2	+0.8
22	Wrexham	23	28	18.6	28.5	-9.9	34	24.5	+9.5
23	Birmingham	23	18	16.1	29.3	-13.2	20	21.2	-1.2
24	Sheffield Weds	23	15	16.7	37.2	-20.5	8	17.4	-9.4

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
Birmingham	46	29	28	34	22	49%	5	2
Blackburn	46	22	20	23	33	48%	3	5
Bristol City	46	32	27	33	26	46%	2	4
Charlton	46	15	29	27	31	66%	3	3
Coventry	46	46	51	17	28	53%	4	5
Derby	46	32	35	25	34	52%	4	6
Hull	46	40	30	32	34	43%	2	4
Ipswich	46	33	47	23	24	59%	3	2
Leicester	46	30	28	34	34	48%	7	7
Middlesbrough	46	35	37	21	26	51%	7	1
Millwall	46	25	39	17	32	61%	3	0
Norwich	46	27	36	23	33	57%	4	6
Oxford	46	28	17	35	24	38%	3	3
Portsmouth	46	19	30	29	35	61%	4	3
Preston	46	27	28	31	31	51%	4	5
QPR	46	26	35	38	35	57%	3	2
Sheffield United	46	30	36	25	41	55%	3	5
Sheffield Weds	46	15	14	40	49	48%	1	6
Southampton	46	36	46	21	35	56%	7	2
Stoke	46	23	28	21	35	55%	3	4
Swansea	46	20	37	28	31	65%	3	4
Watford	46	22	31	34	31	58%	7	2
West Brom	46	23	25	27	31	52%	2	7
Wrexham	46	32	37	29	36	54%	8	7
League total	1104	667	771	667	771	54%	95	95

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
Birmingham	23	52%	1.91	0.87	+1.04	+0.74	-0.70
Blackburn	23	17%	0.91	1.35	-0.43	-0.35	-0.26
Bristol City	23	39%	1.35	1.35	0.00	+0.09	-0.09
Charlton	23	39%	1.35	0.96	+0.39	-0.13	-0.48
Coventry	23	74%	2.39	1.74	+0.65	+1.39	+0.87
Derby	23	43%	1.57	1.43	+0.13	+0.17	+0.17
Hull	23	48%	1.65	1.52	+0.13	+0.04	+0.13
Ipswich	23	61%	2.17	1.48	+0.70	+1.13	+0.30
Leicester	23	30%	1.22	1.04	+0.17	-0.13	-0.30
Middlesbrough	23	52%	1.83	1.65	+0.17	+0.70	+0.39
Millwall	23	57%	1.83	1.78	+0.04	+0.35	+0.30
Norwich	23	39%	1.30	1.52	-0.22	-0.04	+0.35
Oxford	23	30%	1.26	0.78	+0.48	-0.13	-0.48
Portsmouth	23	35%	1.30	1.09	+0.22	+0.09	-0.74
Preston	23	35%	1.35	1.26	+0.09	-0.09	-0.22
QPR	23	43%	1.43	1.09	+0.35	+0.13	-0.65
Sheffield United	23	39%	1.35	1.26	+0.09	+0.22	-0.22
Sheffield Weds	23	4%	0.43	0.35	+0.09	-1.30	-1.30
Southampton	23	52%	1.91	1.57	+0.35	+0.83	+0.30
Stoke	23	39%	1.43	0.96	+0.48	+0.26	-0.48
Swansea	23	48%	1.70	1.09	+0.61	+0.30	-0.39
Watford	23	43%	1.61	0.87	+0.74	+0.13	-0.65
West Brom	23	35%	1.48	0.83	+0.65	+0.13	-0.57
Wrexham	23	43%	1.61	1.48	+0.13	+0.17	0.00
League total	552	42%	1.51	1.22	+0.29	+0.20	-0.20

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 26 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
Birmingham	46	265	191	5.8	4.2	6.6	5.0
Blackburn	46	246	232	5.3	5.0	5.8	4.9
Bristol City	46	223	232	4.8	5.0	4.7	5.0
Charlton	46	190	257	4.1	5.6	5.1	3.2
Coventry	46	245	195	5.3	4.2	6.0	4.7
Derby	46	210	248	4.6	5.4	5.5	3.6
Hull	46	208	275	4.5	6.0	4.6	4.5
Ipswich	46	262	181	5.7	3.9	6.2	5.2
Leicester	46	244	268	5.3	5.8	6.2	4.4
Middlesbrough	46	314	195	6.8	4.2	7.7	6.0
Millwall	46	263	251	5.7	5.5	6.2	5.2
Norwich	46	247	227	5.4	4.9	5.7	5.0
Oxford	46	184	330	4.0	7.2	4.6	3.4
Portsmouth	46	259	233	5.6	5.1	6.3	5.0
Preston	46	205	291	4.5	6.3	5.3	3.7
QPR	46	222	240	4.8	5.2	5.4	4.3
Sheffield United	46	307	229	6.7	5.0	7.6	5.8
Sheffield Weds	46	199	281	4.3	6.1	4.8	3.9
Southampton	46	265	220	5.8	4.8	6.3	5.2
Stoke	46	275	222	6.0	4.8	6.4	5.6
Swansea	46	210	244	4.6	5.3	5.2	4.0
Watford	46	228	240	5.0	5.2	5.4	4.5
West Brom	46	238	182	5.2	4.0	6.1	4.3
Wrexham	46	206	251	4.5	5.5	5.2	3.8
League total	1104	5715	5715	5.2	5.2	—	—