2. Bundesliga

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Biggest over-performers

Biggest under-performers

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Biggest xG difference

#	Team
1	Schalke 04	34	50	46.5	30.7	+15.8	70	57.6	+12.4
2	Elversberg	34	64	46.1	36.6	+9.6	62	52.1	+9.9
3	Paderborn	34	59	50.1	44.8	+5.3	62	50.6	+11.4
4	Hannover	34	60	47.2	43.4	+3.8	60	49.1	+10.9
5	Hertha	34	47	44.3	40.8	+3.4	51	49.5	+1.5
6	Dresden	34	54	41.8	40.9	+0.9	41	47.0	-6.0
7	Bochum	34	49	44.3	43.8	+0.5	44	46.9	-2.9
8	Darmstadt	34	57	46.0	46.1	-0.1	52	47.4	+4.6
9	Preußen Münster	34	38	41.1	42.3	-1.2	30	45.5	-15.5
10	Magdeburg	34	52	47.8	49.0	-1.3	39	46.2	-7.2
11	Bielefeld	34	53	41.3	42.9	-1.5	39	45.6	-6.6
12	Braunschweig	34	36	38.4	39.9	-1.5	37	46.0	-9.0
13	Greuther Furth	34	49	42.6	44.5	-1.9	37	44.0	-7.0
14	Nurnberg	34	47	43.4	45.8	-2.4	46	45.3	+0.7
15	Kaiserslautern	34	52	43.4	45.9	-2.5	52	44.8	+7.2
16	Holstein Kiel	34	44	36.9	42.0	-5.1	41	42.3	-1.3
17	Karlsruhe	34	53	41.8	51.9	-10.1	44	40.6	+3.4
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	34	33	37.7	49.3	-11.7	37	39.8	-2.8
1	Schalke 04	17	29	26.4	12.3	+14.0	42	33.3	+8.7
2	Bochum	17	30	27.4	17.5	+9.9	29	29.7	-0.7
3	Darmstadt	17	32	27.3	17.5	+9.8	35	30.3	+4.7
4	Elversberg	17	35	25.8	16.5	+9.3	37	29.3	+7.7
5	Bielefeld	17	34	24.3	16.5	+7.7	26	28.6	-2.6
6	Kaiserslautern	17	35	26.5	18.9	+7.6	34	28.3	+5.7
7	Hertha	17	16	24.3	17.2	+7.1	23	28.4	-5.4
8	Nurnberg	17	27	24.5	17.7	+6.7	31	27.8	+3.2
9	Hannover	17	27	25.4	20.4	+5.1	27	26.7	+0.3
10	Paderborn	17	35	27.1	22.4	+4.7	33	26.6	+6.4
11	Karlsruhe	17	34	25.8	22.4	+3.4	30	25.8	+4.2
12	Holstein Kiel	17	22	21.2	17.8	+3.3	22	25.0	-3.0
13	Dresden	17	30	23.0	19.7	+3.2	24	25.6	-1.6
14	Preußen Münster	17	22	23.5	20.3	+3.2	17	25.5	-8.5
15	Braunschweig	17	20	21.0	18.0	+3.1	23	25.7	-2.7
16	Greuther Furth	17	26	22.1	19.7	+2.4	23	24.0	-1.0
17	Magdeburg	17	23	23.4	22.2	+1.3	17	23.9	-6.9
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	22	21.0	23.7	-2.7	24	22.0	+2.0
1	Schalke 04	17	21	20.1	18.4	+1.8	28	24.3	+3.7
2	Paderborn	17	24	23.0	22.4	+0.6	29	24.0	+5.0
3	Elversberg	17	29	20.3	20.1	+0.3	25	22.8	+2.2
4	Hannover	17	33	21.8	23.1	-1.3	33	22.4	+10.6
5	Dresden	17	24	18.8	21.2	-2.4	17	21.4	-4.4
6	Magdeburg	17	29	24.3	26.9	-2.5	22	22.2	-0.2
7	Hertha	17	31	19.9	23.7	-3.7	28	21.1	+6.9
8	Greuther Furth	17	23	20.5	24.8	-4.3	14	20.0	-6.0
9	Preußen Münster	17	16	17.6	22.0	-4.4	13	20.0	-7.0
10	Braunschweig	17	16	17.4	22.0	-4.6	14	20.2	-6.2
11	Holstein Kiel	17	22	15.8	24.2	-8.4	19	17.3	+1.7
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	11	16.6	25.6	-9.0	13	17.8	-4.8
13	Nurnberg	17	20	18.9	28.1	-9.1	15	17.6	-2.6
14	Bielefeld	17	19	17.1	26.3	-9.3	13	17.0	-4.0
15	Bochum	17	19	16.9	26.3	-9.4	15	17.3	-2.3
16	Darmstadt	17	25	18.7	28.6	-9.8	17	17.1	-0.1
17	Kaiserslautern	17	17	16.9	27.0	-10.1	18	16.5	+1.5
18	Karlsruhe	17	19	16.0	29.5	-13.5	14	14.8	-0.8

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
Bielefeld	34	21	32	24	27	60%	6	4
Bochum	34	22	27	21	26	55%	4	2
Braunschweig	34	19	17	24	30	47%	2	2
Darmstadt	34	23	34	25	20	60%	5	3
Dresden	34	32	22	23	30	41%	1	6
Elversberg	34	28	36	19	20	56%	4	3
Fortuna Dusseldorf	34	14	19	20	33	58%	2	1
Greuther Furth	34	21	28	29	39	57%	1	2
Hannover	34	28	32	18	26	53%	4	4
Hertha	34	22	25	17	27	53%	1	5
Holstein Kiel	34	21	23	24	24	52%	2	3
Kaiserslautern	34	22	30	19	28	58%	0	1
Karlsruhe	34	17	36	27	37	68%	5	2
Magdeburg	34	24	28	25	33	54%	0	1
Nurnberg	34	22	25	18	27	53%	3	4
Paderborn	34	24	35	24	21	59%	5	4
Preußen Münster	34	14	24	31	30	63%	5	3
Schalke 04	34	26	24	12	19	48%	1	1
League total	612	400	497	400	497	55%	51	51

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
Bielefeld	17	41%	1.53	0.76	+0.76	+0.76	-0.65
Bochum	17	47%	1.71	0.88	+0.82	+0.53	-0.41
Braunschweig	17	35%	1.35	0.82	+0.53	-0.35	-0.71
Darmstadt	17	59%	2.06	1.00	+1.06	+0.88	-0.18
Dresden	17	41%	1.41	1.00	+0.41	+0.47	-0.41
Elversberg	17	65%	2.18	1.47	+0.71	+1.24	+0.24
Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	41%	1.41	0.76	+0.65	-0.24	-0.94
Greuther Furth	17	35%	1.35	0.82	+0.53	-0.29	-0.82
Hannover	17	41%	1.59	1.94	-0.35	+0.24	+0.71
Hertha	17	35%	1.35	1.65	-0.29	-0.12	+0.29
Holstein Kiel	17	35%	1.29	1.12	+0.18	+0.18	-0.41
Kaiserslautern	17	65%	2.00	1.06	+0.94	+0.94	-0.65
Karlsruhe	17	53%	1.76	0.82	+0.94	+0.29	-0.94
Magdeburg	17	29%	1.00	1.29	-0.29	-0.29	-0.06
Nurnberg	17	53%	1.82	0.88	+0.94	+0.59	-0.47
Paderborn	17	59%	1.94	1.71	+0.24	+0.47	+0.35
Preußen Münster	17	18%	1.00	0.76	+0.24	-0.24	-1.12
Schalke 04	17	76%	2.47	1.65	+0.82	+0.88	+0.24
League total	306	46%	1.62	1.13	+0.49	+0.33	-0.33

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 12 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
Bielefeld	34	208	144	6.1	4.2	6.6	5.6
Bochum	34	169	199	5.0	5.9	4.9	5.0
Braunschweig	34	161	197	4.7	5.8	4.8	4.6
Darmstadt	34	165	188	4.9	5.5	5.1	4.6
Dresden	34	171	195	5.0	5.7	4.8	5.2
Elversberg	34	207	142	6.1	4.2	6.2	6.0
Fortuna Dusseldorf	34	151	151	4.4	4.4	4.5	4.4
Greuther Furth	34	154	191	4.5	5.6	4.1	5.0
Hannover	34	211	139	6.2	4.1	8.1	4.4
Hertha	34	151	200	4.4	5.9	4.8	4.1
Holstein Kiel	34	176	169	5.2	5.0	6.1	4.2
Kaiserslautern	34	160	166	4.7	4.9	5.6	3.8
Karlsruhe	34	156	165	4.6	4.9	4.8	4.4
Magdeburg	34	177	164	5.2	4.8	5.3	5.1
Nurnberg	34	175	155	5.1	4.6	5.2	5.1
Paderborn	34	174	155	5.1	4.6	6.0	4.2
Preußen Münster	34	141	199	4.1	5.9	4.9	3.4
Schalke 04	34	164	152	4.8	4.5	5.4	4.3
League total	612	3071	3071	5.0	5.0	—	—