Bundesliga

xG Table · 2025/26

Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.

Season leaders

Top xG

Biggest over-performers

Biggest under-performers

Best defences (lowest xGA)

Biggest xG difference

#	Team
1	Bayern Munich	34	122	75.6	26.3	+49.3	89	76.0	+13.0
2	RB Leipzig	34	66	58.3	37.5	+20.8	65	59.5	+5.5
3	Dortmund	34	70	48.7	36.2	+12.5	73	54.5	+18.5
4	Stuttgart	34	71	56.9	50.9	+6.0	62	51.4	+10.6
5	Hoffenheim	34	65	50.1	48.2	+1.9	61	49.4	+11.6
6	Hamburg	34	40	49.0	49.2	-0.2	38	46.8	-8.8
7	Leverkusen	34	68	49.9	50.7	-0.8	59	46.4	+12.6
8	Augsburg	34	45	48.7	50.1	-1.4	43	46.9	-3.9
9	FC Koln	34	49	47.0	49.0	-2.0	32	44.4	-12.4
10	Union Berlin	34	44	39.4	43.2	-3.8	39	43.7	-4.7
11	Wolfsburg	34	45	44.5	48.6	-4.1	29	44.7	-15.7
12	Ein Frankfurt	34	61	48.4	52.8	-4.5	44	44.7	-0.7
13	Freiburg	34	51	44.9	50.4	-5.5	47	43.2	+3.8
14	M'gladbach	34	42	46.1	54.3	-8.2	38	43.4	-5.4
15	Werder Bremen	34	37	43.2	52.1	-8.9	32	42.7	-10.7
16	Mainz	34	44	41.8	52.1	-10.2	40	40.5	-0.5
17	Heidenheim	34	41	37.2	53.8	-16.6	26	36.6	-10.6
18	St Pauli	34	29	35.7	59.8	-24.1	26	32.7	-6.7
1	Bayern Munich	17	68	39.1	12.3	+26.9	44	39.0	+5.0
2	RB Leipzig	17	40	35.4	17.0	+18.4	38	34.4	+3.6
3	Stuttgart	17	30	30.1	19.8	+10.3	39	30.1	+8.9
4	Leverkusen	17	38	30.6	21.0	+9.5	31	29.1	+1.9
5	Dortmund	17	40	26.4	17.3	+9.2	41	29.3	+11.7
6	Hamburg	17	25	25.5	17.4	+8.1	24	27.5	-3.5
7	Hoffenheim	17	35	29.1	21.6	+7.5	32	28.1	+3.9
8	Ein Frankfurt	17	29	28.1	21.4	+6.7	25	27.7	-2.7
9	Freiburg	17	33	27.5	20.8	+6.7	32	27.3	+4.7
10	Augsburg	17	25	27.6	21.1	+6.4	26	27.7	-1.7
11	M'gladbach	17	24	27.1	21.0	+6.1	24	27.8	-3.8
12	FC Koln	17	30	28.4	22.5	+5.9	19	26.6	-7.6
13	Union Berlin	17	26	22.8	18.7	+4.1	22	25.6	-3.6
14	Wolfsburg	17	21	24.9	22.7	+2.2	10	25.0	-15.0
15	Werder Bremen	17	19	24.5	22.6	+1.9	19	25.3	-6.3
16	Mainz	17	21	20.8	22.0	-1.2	17	22.1	-5.1
17	Heidenheim	17	23	21.8	25.4	-3.6	17	21.8	-4.8
18	St Pauli	17	17	22.5	28.5	-6.0	17	20.3	-3.3
1	Bayern Munich	17	54	36.4	14.1	+22.4	45	37.0	+8.0
2	Dortmund	17	30	22.3	19.0	+3.3	32	25.2	+6.8
3	RB Leipzig	17	26	22.9	20.5	+2.3	27	25.0	+2.0
4	Stuttgart	17	41	26.8	31.1	-4.3	23	21.3	+1.7
5	Hoffenheim	17	30	21.0	26.6	-5.6	29	21.2	+7.8
6	Wolfsburg	17	24	19.6	25.9	-6.3	19	19.8	-0.8
7	Augsburg	17	20	21.2	29.0	-7.8	17	19.2	-2.2
8	FC Koln	17	19	18.6	26.5	-7.9	13	17.8	-4.8
9	Union Berlin	17	18	16.7	24.6	-7.9	17	18.1	-1.1
10	Hamburg	17	15	23.4	31.8	-8.3	14	19.4	-5.4
11	Mainz	17	23	21.1	30.1	-9.0	23	18.4	+4.6
12	Leverkusen	17	30	19.3	29.7	-10.4	28	17.2	+10.8
13	Werder Bremen	17	18	18.7	29.5	-10.8	13	17.4	-4.4
14	Ein Frankfurt	17	32	20.2	31.5	-11.2	19	16.9	+2.1
15	Freiburg	17	18	17.4	29.6	-12.2	15	15.9	-0.9
16	Heidenheim	17	18	15.4	28.4	-13.0	9	14.8	-5.8
17	M'gladbach	17	18	19.0	33.4	-14.3	14	15.6	-1.6
18	St Pauli	17	12	13.2	31.3	-18.1	9	12.4	-3.4

First half / second half

Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.

Team	Pld
Augsburg	34	21	24	31	30	53%	2	4
Bayern Munich	34	50	72	19	17	59%	5	1
Dortmund	34	32	38	11	23	54%	2	4
Ein Frankfurt	34	27	34	27	38	56%	3	2
FC Koln	34	19	30	28	35	61%	3	1
Freiburg	34	20	31	22	35	61%	4	1
Hamburg	34	17	23	25	29	58%	3	1
Heidenheim	34	16	25	33	39	61%	3	4
Hoffenheim	34	36	29	26	26	45%	1	2
Leverkusen	34	40	28	26	21	41%	1	3
M'gladbach	34	17	25	29	24	60%	0	1
Mainz	34	23	21	23	30	48%	4	6
RB Leipzig	34	32	34	17	30	52%	1	2
St Pauli	34	11	18	23	37	62%	1	2
Stuttgart	34	33	38	23	26	54%	4	2
Union Berlin	34	15	29	27	31	66%	4	1
Werder Bremen	34	11	26	26	34	70%	3	3
Wolfsburg	34	22	23	26	43	51%	1	5
League total	612	442	548	442	548	55%	45	45

Home advantage

Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.

League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:

Team	HP
Augsburg	17	41%	1.53	1.00	+0.53	-0.18	-0.76
Bayern Munich	17	82%	2.59	2.65	-0.06	+2.88	+2.18
Dortmund	17	76%	2.41	1.88	+0.53	+1.41	+0.71
Ein Frankfurt	17	41%	1.47	1.12	+0.35	+0.12	-0.35
FC Koln	17	29%	1.12	0.76	+0.35	0.00	-0.82
Freiburg	17	53%	1.88	0.88	+1.00	+0.65	-1.00
Hamburg	17	35%	1.41	0.82	+0.59	+0.18	-1.00
Heidenheim	17	24%	1.00	0.53	+0.47	-0.82	-1.00
Hoffenheim	17	59%	1.88	1.71	+0.18	+0.82	-0.06
Leverkusen	17	53%	1.82	1.65	+0.18	+1.12	+0.12
M'gladbach	17	35%	1.41	0.82	+0.59	0.00	-0.65
Mainz	17	24%	1.00	1.35	-0.35	-0.24	-0.29
RB Leipzig	17	71%	2.24	1.59	+0.65	+1.18	-0.06
St Pauli	17	24%	1.00	0.53	+0.47	-0.82	-1.00
Stuttgart	17	71%	2.29	1.35	+0.94	+0.82	+0.47
Union Berlin	17	29%	1.29	1.00	+0.29	0.00	-0.82
Werder Bremen	17	29%	1.12	0.76	+0.35	-0.71	-0.65
Wolfsburg	17	12%	0.59	1.12	-0.53	-0.65	-0.76
League total	306	44%	1.56	1.20	+0.36	+0.32	-0.32

Corners

Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.

League-wide corners per team, per match over 25 seasons — the decline:

Team	Pld
Augsburg	34	156	189	4.6	5.6	5.2	4.0
Bayern Munich	34	216	120	6.4	3.5	7.6	5.1
Dortmund	34	181	143	5.3	4.2	7.2	3.4
Ein Frankfurt	34	159	155	4.7	4.6	5.4	3.9
FC Koln	34	157	188	4.6	5.5	4.8	4.4
Freiburg	34	140	142	4.1	4.2	4.5	3.7
Hamburg	34	125	199	3.7	5.9	3.8	3.6
Heidenheim	34	154	172	4.5	5.1	4.6	4.4
Hoffenheim	34	197	163	5.8	4.8	6.4	5.2
Leverkusen	34	190	140	5.6	4.1	6.7	4.5
M'gladbach	34	128	165	3.8	4.9	3.3	4.2
Mainz	34	172	156	5.1	4.6	6.2	3.9
RB Leipzig	34	180	147	5.3	4.3	5.9	4.7
St Pauli	34	162	175	4.8	5.1	5.9	3.6
Stuttgart	34	193	144	5.7	4.2	5.9	5.5
Union Berlin	34	170	164	5.0	4.8	5.2	4.8
Werder Bremen	34	154	170	4.5	5.0	4.8	4.2
Wolfsburg	34	151	253	4.4	7.4	5.4	3.5
League total	612	2985	2985	4.9	4.9	—	—