Jupiler Pro League
xG Table · 2025/26
Model figures — expected goals scored by TrueGoals, not actual match xG.
Season leaders
Top xG
- Club Brugge63.5
- Genk61.9
- St. Gilloise58.3
- Anderlecht55.1
- Westerlo52.1
Biggest over-performers
- St. Gilloise+16.1
- St Truiden+16.0
- Club Brugge+15.7
- Mechelen+9.4
- Waregem+5.9
Biggest under-performers
- Dender-24.0
- Charleroi-8.0
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven-7.2
- Antwerp-6.0
- Westerlo-5.9
Best defences (lowest xGA)
- St. Gilloise34.4
- Club Brugge35.6
- Charleroi42.3
- Dender45.8
- Westerlo46.6
Biggest xG difference
- Club Brugge+27.9
- St. Gilloise+24.0
- Genk+13.4
- Anderlecht+7.5
- Charleroi+6.7
| # | Team | Matches played. | Goals scored (actual). | Expected goals for: goals our model (TrueGoals) says this team's performances typically produce. | Expected goals against: same, for goals conceded. | Expected goal difference (xGF minus xGA). | Actual league points. | Expected points: points the team “should” have won based on xG, via match simulation. | Actual points minus expected points. Positive = over-performing its underlying numbers (may regress); negative = under-performing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Brugge | 40 | 91 | 63.5 | 35.6 | +27.9 | 88 | 72.3 | +15.7 |
| 2 | St. Gilloise | 40 | 66 | 58.3 | 34.4 | +24.0 | 86 | 69.9 | +16.1 |
| 3 | Genk | 40 | 57 | 61.9 | 48.5 | +13.4 | 59 | 64.1 | -5.1 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 40 | 59 | 55.1 | 47.6 | +7.5 | 55 | 60.1 | -5.1 |
| 5 | Charleroi | 40 | 50 | 49.0 | 42.3 | +6.7 | 51 | 59.0 | -8.0 |
| 6 | Westerlo | 40 | 50 | 52.1 | 46.6 | +5.5 | 52 | 57.9 | -5.9 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 40 | 43 | 48.7 | 49.0 | -0.3 | 48 | 54.0 | -6.0 |
| 8 | St Truiden | 40 | 61 | 48.9 | 49.4 | -0.5 | 71 | 55.0 | +16.0 |
| 9 | Dender | 35 | 29 | 42.8 | 45.8 | -3.0 | 22 | 46.0 | -24.0 |
| 10 | Gent | 40 | 53 | 48.0 | 51.2 | -3.1 | 51 | 52.3 | -1.3 |
| 11 | Standard | 40 | 44 | 44.3 | 47.8 | -3.5 | 57 | 52.3 | +4.7 |
| 12 | Cercle Brugge | 36 | 53 | 49.1 | 61.0 | -11.9 | 41 | 43.2 | -2.2 |
| 13 | Waregem | 36 | 53 | 45.0 | 57.2 | -12.2 | 48 | 42.1 | +5.9 |
| 14 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 40 | 41 | 46.9 | 60.8 | -13.9 | 40 | 47.2 | -7.2 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 35 | 34 | 33.9 | 48.6 | -14.8 | 34 | 37.4 | -3.4 |
| 16 | Mechelen | 40 | 48 | 42.3 | 64.2 | -21.9 | 51 | 41.6 | +9.4 |
| 1 | St. Gilloise | 20 | 43 | 33.3 | 13.1 | +20.3 | 56 | 41.1 | +14.9 |
| 2 | Club Brugge | 20 | 56 | 36.5 | 16.6 | +19.9 | 50 | 39.7 | +10.3 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 20 | 35 | 32.3 | 17.2 | +15.1 | 35 | 37.2 | -2.2 |
| 4 | Genk | 20 | 26 | 32.1 | 20.9 | +11.2 | 29 | 35.2 | -6.2 |
| 5 | St Truiden | 20 | 32 | 28.3 | 21.3 | +7.0 | 41 | 32.0 | +9.0 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 20 | 26 | 27.5 | 21.2 | +6.4 | 24 | 32.0 | -8.0 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 20 | 26 | 26.5 | 21.2 | +5.3 | 25 | 30.6 | -5.6 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 20 | 26 | 28.0 | 23.3 | +4.8 | 28 | 30.6 | -2.6 |
| 9 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 20 | 22 | 27.2 | 25.8 | +1.4 | 20 | 28.8 | -8.8 |
| 10 | Gent | 20 | 29 | 23.0 | 22.2 | +0.8 | 30 | 27.8 | +2.2 |
| 11 | Standard | 20 | 18 | 23.3 | 22.9 | +0.5 | 22 | 27.6 | -5.6 |
| 12 | Waregem | 18 | 27 | 25.1 | 25.9 | -0.8 | 28 | 24.1 | +3.9 |
| 13 | Dender | 17 | 14 | 20.1 | 21.3 | -1.2 | 8 | 23.0 | -15.0 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 18 | 16 | 19.9 | 21.8 | -2.0 | 19 | 22.8 | -3.8 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge | 18 | 26 | 27.8 | 31.8 | -4.1 | 14 | 22.9 | -8.9 |
| 16 | Mechelen | 20 | 24 | 22.4 | 30.1 | -7.7 | 28 | 22.6 | +5.4 |
| 1 | Club Brugge | 20 | 35 | 26.9 | 19.0 | +8.0 | 38 | 32.6 | +5.4 |
| 2 | St. Gilloise | 20 | 23 | 25.0 | 21.3 | +3.7 | 30 | 28.8 | +1.2 |
| 3 | Genk | 20 | 31 | 29.8 | 27.6 | +2.2 | 30 | 28.9 | +1.1 |
| 4 | Charleroi | 20 | 24 | 21.5 | 21.1 | +0.3 | 27 | 27.1 | -0.1 |
| 5 | Westerlo | 20 | 24 | 25.7 | 25.4 | +0.3 | 27 | 27.3 | -0.3 |
| 6 | Dender | 18 | 15 | 22.7 | 24.5 | -1.8 | 14 | 23.0 | -9.0 |
| 7 | Gent | 20 | 24 | 25.0 | 28.9 | -3.9 | 21 | 24.5 | -3.5 |
| 8 | Standard | 20 | 26 | 21.0 | 24.9 | -3.9 | 35 | 24.7 | +10.3 |
| 9 | Antwerp | 20 | 17 | 20.7 | 25.7 | -5.0 | 20 | 23.4 | -3.4 |
| 10 | Anderlecht | 20 | 24 | 22.8 | 30.4 | -7.5 | 20 | 23.0 | -3.0 |
| 11 | St Truiden | 20 | 29 | 20.6 | 28.1 | -7.5 | 30 | 22.9 | +7.1 |
| 12 | Cercle Brugge | 18 | 27 | 21.3 | 29.1 | -7.8 | 27 | 20.2 | +6.8 |
| 13 | Waregem | 18 | 26 | 19.9 | 31.3 | -11.4 | 20 | 18.0 | +2.0 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 17 | 18 | 14.0 | 26.8 | -12.8 | 15 | 14.6 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Mechelen | 20 | 24 | 19.9 | 34.1 | -14.2 | 23 | 19.0 | +4.0 |
| 16 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 20 | 19 | 19.7 | 35.0 | -15.3 | 20 | 18.4 | +1.6 |
First half / second half
Descriptive — actual half-time and full-time facts (2025/26), not predictions.
| Team | Pld | Goals scored in the first half. | Goals scored in the second half (full-time minus half-time). | Goals conceded in the first half. | Goals conceded in the second half. | Share of the team's goals scored in the second half. Shown only when there are enough goals to be meaningful. | Comebacks: matches the team was trailing at half-time but ended up winning or drawing. | Leads lost: matches the team was leading at half-time but ended up drawing or losing. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 40 | 23 | 36 | 32 | 30 | 61% | 3 | 2 |
| Antwerp | 40 | 19 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 56% | 0 | 2 |
| Cercle Brugge | 36 | 31 | 22 | 25 | 33 | 42% | 3 | 4 |
| Charleroi | 40 | 24 | 26 | 23 | 27 | 52% | 4 | 3 |
| Club Brugge | 40 | 39 | 52 | 19 | 26 | 57% | 5 | 2 |
| Dender | 35 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 38 | 52% | 1 | 4 |
| Genk | 40 | 25 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 56% | 3 | 4 |
| Gent | 40 | 24 | 29 | 27 | 30 | 55% | 3 | 5 |
| Mechelen | 40 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 39 | 50% | 4 | 5 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 40 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 38 | 51% | 1 | 5 |
| RAAL La Louviere | 35 | 13 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 62% | 3 | 0 |
| St Truiden | 40 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 24 | 57% | 4 | 2 |
| St. Gilloise | 40 | 29 | 37 | 12 | 15 | 56% | 3 | 1 |
| Standard | 40 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 50% | 1 | 1 |
| Waregem | 36 | 24 | 29 | 25 | 28 | 55% | 5 | 3 |
| Westerlo | 40 | 20 | 30 | 32 | 25 | 60% | 3 | 3 |
| League total | 622 | 377 | 455 | 377 | 455 | 55% | 46 | 46 |
Home advantage
Realized home vs away results (2025/26). "Edge" = home PPG − away PPG. Descriptive, not a prediction.
League-wide home edge (PPG) over 26 seasons — the long decline:
| Team | HP | Home win percentage. | Home points per game (3 for a win, 1 for a draw). | Away points per game. | Home edge: home points per game minus away points per game — the size of the team's home advantage. Caveated when either home or away matches are few. | Home goal difference per game. | Away goal difference per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 20 | 50% | 1.75 | 1.00 | +0.75 | +0.55 | -0.70 |
| Antwerp | 20 | 40% | 1.40 | 1.00 | +0.40 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| Cercle Brugge | 18 | 17% | 0.78 | 1.50 | -0.72 | -0.50 | +0.22 |
| Charleroi | 20 | 30% | 1.20 | 1.35 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Club Brugge | 20 | 80% | 2.50 | 1.90 | +0.60 | +1.70 | +0.60 |
| Dender | 17 | 6% | 0.47 | 0.78 | -0.31 | -1.18 | -0.67 |
| Genk | 20 | 35% | 1.45 | 1.50 | -0.05 | +0.20 | 0.00 |
| Gent | 20 | 40% | 1.50 | 1.05 | +0.45 | +0.40 | -0.60 |
| Mechelen | 20 | 35% | 1.40 | 1.15 | +0.25 | -0.05 | -0.60 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 20 | 25% | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | -0.70 |
| RAAL La Louviere | 18 | 22% | 1.06 | 0.88 | +0.17 | -0.22 | -0.59 |
| St Truiden | 20 | 65% | 2.05 | 1.50 | +0.55 | +0.45 | +0.30 |
| St. Gilloise | 20 | 90% | 2.80 | 1.50 | +1.30 | +1.80 | +0.15 |
| Standard | 20 | 25% | 1.10 | 1.75 | -0.65 | -0.35 | +0.25 |
| Waregem | 18 | 44% | 1.56 | 1.11 | +0.44 | +0.28 | -0.28 |
| Westerlo | 20 | 35% | 1.25 | 1.35 | -0.10 | -0.05 | -0.30 |
| League total | 311 | 41% | 1.47 | 1.28 | +0.19 | +0.19 | -0.19 |
Corners
Descriptive — actual corner counts (2025/26), shown where available. Not a prediction.
League-wide corners per team, per match over 9 seasons — the decline:
| Team | Pld | Corners won (total). | Corners conceded (total). | Corners won per game. | Corners conceded per game. | Home corners won per game. | Away corners won per game. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderlecht | 40 | 229 | 191 | 5.7 | 4.8 | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Antwerp | 40 | 186 | 188 | 4.7 | 4.7 | 5.0 | 4.3 |
| Cercle Brugge | 36 | 183 | 204 | 5.1 | 5.7 | 5.2 | 4.9 |
| Charleroi | 40 | 229 | 198 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.4 |
| Club Brugge | 40 | 258 | 181 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 7.4 | 5.5 |
| Dender | 35 | 129 | 201 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
| Genk | 40 | 228 | 169 | 5.7 | 4.2 | 7.3 | 4.2 |
| Gent | 40 | 188 | 233 | 4.7 | 5.8 | 5.0 | 4.4 |
| Mechelen | 40 | 179 | 234 | 4.5 | 5.8 | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 40 | 190 | 252 | 4.8 | 6.3 | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| RAAL La Louviere | 35 | 175 | 153 | 5.0 | 4.4 | 5.9 | 4.0 |
| St Truiden | 40 | 222 | 186 | 5.5 | 4.7 | 5.4 | 5.7 |
| St. Gilloise | 40 | 230 | 148 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 5.3 |
| Standard | 40 | 162 | 236 | 4.0 | 5.9 | 5.0 | 3.1 |
| Waregem | 36 | 170 | 182 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Westerlo | 40 | 204 | 206 | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| League total | 622 | 3162 | 3162 | 5.1 | 5.1 | — | — |